Elise Mertens and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on COURT 7. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.53
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

This will be the 4th time that Elise Mertens and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Mertens won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in Singapore back in January 2025.

Highlights Elise Mertens vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Singapore 31-January-2025

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens

18 - 8win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
5-0
Clay
3-2
Rank
24
High
12
LWLWWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-9 10-6 4-3 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 26, the Belgian will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Stuttgart where she lost 6-4 6-1 to Sabalenka in the quarter on the 19th of April.

Elise has a compiled 18-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.

Talking about her overall career, Mertens has an overall 465-268 record. She has a positive 107-63 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.

Madrid
Mertens's Record

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

11 - 5win/loss

Hard
3-4
I Hard
2-1
Clay
6-0
Rank
55
High
33
LWWWWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-6 3-4 6-1 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 34-22 12-11 17-7 1-1 4-3 0-0
2023 30-20 7-10 15-7 5-1 3-2 0-0
2022 20-19 13-11 5-3 2-1 0-4 0-0
2021 35-17 14-12 16-3 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 51, Camila Osorio Serrano got to the 2nd round after beating Emiliana Arango 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round, Maria had a good straight sets win against Arango (6-3 6-3). During the match Camila Osorio Serrano scored 66 points vs Arango’s 54. The Colombian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Camila Osorio Serrano wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Maria Camila Osorio Serrano lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Camila Osorio Serrano put 73% of her first serves in, winning 60% (27/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Arango 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Bogota where she overcame Katarzyna Kawa in the final 6-3 6-3.

The Colombian has a composed 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

Madrid
Camila Osorio Serrano's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

  • Linda NoskovaNoskovaMaria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad MaiaBernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Anastasija SevastovaSevastovaJelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Donna VekicVekicHailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Anna KalinskayaKalinskayaDiane ParryParry (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Belinda BencicBencicClara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Iga SwiatekSwiatekAlexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Emma NavarroNavarroMaya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonovaCaroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Mirra AndreevaAndreevaMarie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Diana ShnaiderShnaiderKatie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Magdalena FrechFrechJessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Zihao XiaXiaYuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Jie CuiCuiRay HoHo (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Fajing SunSunTsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Yecong HeHePak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Yan BaiBaiQun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings

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