Holger Rune and Flavio Cobolli will face off in the 2^nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.27
Flavio Cobolli -> 3.76

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Flavio Cobolli

This will be the 2^nd time that Holger Rune and Flavio Cobolli square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Rune won 6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-6(7) in the 2^nd round in at the French Open back in 2024.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Flavio Cobolli – French Open 30-May-2024

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 9, the Dane will start his run in Madrid after he won the title in Barcelona after beating 7-6(6) 6-2 Alcaraz in the final.

Holger has an aggregate 16-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Barcelona where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

The Dane won his last 5 matches.

Talking about his overall career, The Dane has an overall 267-139 record. He has a positive 127-57 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Flavio Cobolli

Ranked no. 36, the Italian reached the 2^nd round after beating Fabian Marozsan 7-6(4) 7-5.

In the 1^st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Marozsan (7-6⁴ 7-5). During the match Cobolli scored 93 points vs Marozsan’s 86. Flavio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Cobolli recorded 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. Cobolli broke Marozsan 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

His best result of the season was winning the title in Bucharest where he overcame Sebastian Baez in the final 6-4 6-4.

The Italian has a compiled 9-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2024. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-7⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexandre MullerMuller – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 3-6 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Mattia BellucciBellucci (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-7⁷ 7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Federico CinaCina – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Laslo DjereDjere – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Hugo GastonGaston (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Harold MayotMayot – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Borna GojoGojo (1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Arthur Rinderknech
  Rinderknech – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-6⁴ 6-1) – See score progression
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (3-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6² 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexandre MullerMuller – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 3-6 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Mattia BellucciBellucci (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (5-7 6-2 1-4 ret. (Zandschulp ret.)) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-7(4) 6-4) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (5-2) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Alexander BublikBublik (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction