Alexei Popyrin and Alexander Bublik will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on COURT 7. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexei Popyrin who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alexei Popyrin is the pick to win this match.
Alexei Popyrin -> 1.65
Alexander Bublik -> 2.24

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alexei Popyrin vs. Alexander Bublik

This will be the 4th time that Alexei Popyrin and Alexander Bublik square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Popyrin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Popyrin won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in Doha back in 2024.

Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublik – Doha 22-February-2024

Alexei Popyrin

Alexei Popyrin

5 - 8win/loss

Hard
2-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
3-1
Rank
25
High
23
WLWWLWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-12 2-6 7-5 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 30-22 17-8 4-8 4-3 5-3 0-0
2023 36-29 18-14 15-6 1-4 2-5 0-0
2022 24-31 7-16 7-4 3-5 7-6 0-0
2021 32-26 13-11 8-6 10-5 1-4 0-0

Ranked no. 26, the Australian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 6-3 6-2 to Davidovich Fokina in the quarter on the 11th of April.

The Australian has an aggregate 5-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Talking about his overall career, Popyrin has an overall 278-221 record. He has a positive 78-57 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.

Madrid
Popyrin's Record

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

10 - 12win/loss

Hard
5-7
I Hard
2-3
Clay
3-2
Rank
62
High
17
LWWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-15 5-7 11-5 2-3 0-0 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0

Ranked no. 75, Alexander got to the 2nd round after defeating Alex Michelsen 7-6(2) 7-6(4).

In the 1st round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (7-62 7-64). During the match Bublik scored 93 points vs Michelsen’s 86. Bublik was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Bublik made 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alexander Bublik was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (44/61) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Bublik broke Michelsen once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).

The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Phoenix Challenger.

Alexander has a composed 10-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.

Madrid
Bublik's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

  • Damir DzumhurDzumhurMattia BellucciBellucci (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Kei NishikoriNishikoriAleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alexandre MullerMullerDavid GoffinGoffin (6-3 3-6 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
  • Nicolas JarryJarryDaniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Luciano DarderiDarderiQuentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin EtcheverryHamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo SonegoSonegoMiomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
  • Arthur RinderknechRinderknechRoman SafiullinSafiullin (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
  • Ethan QuinnQuinnDusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel CerundoloAleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (3-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
  • Gael MonfilsMonfilsBorna GojoGojo (1-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
  • Christopher O ConnellO ConnellCamilo Ugo Carabelli
    Ugo Carabelli (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Francisco ComesanaComesanaPedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Nuno BorgesBorgesPablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-77 7-63 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alexander BublikBublikAlex MichelsenMichelsen (7-62 7-64) – See score progression
  • Laslo DjereDjereFabio FogniniFognini (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Benjamin BonziBonziMarin CilicCilic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Sebastian OfnerOfnerHugo GastonGaston (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Harold MayotMayotCorentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
  • Mariano NavoneNavoneGiovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Federico CinaCinaChak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
  • Roberto Bautista AgutBautista AgutJaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Flavio CobolliCobolliFabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-64 7-5) – See score progression
  • Luciano DarderiDarderiQuentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Alexandre MullerMullerDavid GoffinGoffin (6-3 3-6 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
  • Damir DzumhurDzumhurMattia BellucciBellucci (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo SonegoSonegoMiomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
  • Kei NishikoriNishikoriAleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De ZandschulpJan-Lennard StruffStruff (5-7 6-2 1-4 ret. (Zandschulp ret.)) – See score progression
  • Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin EtcheverryHamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-7(4) 6-4) – See score progression
  • Nicolas JarryJarryDaniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw