Brandon Holt and Yosuke Watanuki will face off in the quarter of the Gwangju Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.57
Brandon Holt -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Holt vs. Yosuke Watanuki
This will be the 2nd time that Brandon Holt and Yosuke Watanuki play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Holt (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Holt won 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in Los cabos back in 2024.
Brandon Holt
29 - 11win/loss
102
102
LLWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-14 | 29-11 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-31 | 37-24 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-24 | 14-16 | 1-2 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 52-21 | 48-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110 (career-high), Holt reached the quarter after beating Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-3 6-0 and Uisung Park 3-6 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round against Park, Holt recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-65). During the match, Holt scored 107 points vs Park’s 106. Brandon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Holt recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Holt lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Holt put 61% of his first serves in, winning 61% (37/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the 2nd serve. Holt broke Park 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holt has lost 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Holt has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (204-127). 26-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Holt has a composed 178-102 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger where he beat Vit Kopriva in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Bengaluru Challenger where he overcame Shintaro Mochizuki in the final 6-3 6-3.
Brandon has an aggregate 29-11 win-loss record in 2025, 26-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Gwangju Challenger
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-10 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 213, Watanuki got to the quarter after defeating James McCabe 7-6(12) 6-3 and Johannus Monday 6-3 6-7(7) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Japanese defeated Monday (6-3 6-77 6-4). During the match Watanuki scored 106 points vs Monday’s 97. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Watanuki blasted 14 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki was quite effective on serve to win 85% (41/48) of his 1st serve and 62% (33/53) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Watanuki broke Monday twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Japanese has a compiled 11-7 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Holt | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 54 |
| Pts | 170-145 | 201-180 |
| Total Points | 315 | 381 |
| Winners | 59 | 73 |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% |
Both Holt and Watanuki played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Brandon Holt surrendered 1 set, while Yosuke Watanuki conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Holt and Watanuki have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Holt played 8 games less than Watanuki. Brandon scored 59 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Yousuke scored 73 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Holt | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 10 |
| 1st in | 89/146 | 93/188 |
| %1st in | 61% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 59/89 | 73/93 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 31/57 | 58/95 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 61% |
Holt fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Watanuki fired 20 aces (10 per match). Holt won 66% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Watanuki won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Holt | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 5 |
| Converted | 10/27 | 5/18 |
| % Converted | 37% | 28% |
| Conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 62% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Holt broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. Holt conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 5 times with a 28% conversion rate. Watanuki conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Holt | ||||
| R1 Hsiou |
R2 Park |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 3-6 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 31 | 46 | |
| pts | 63-39 | 107-106 | 170-145 | |
| Total points | 102 | 213 | 315 | |
| Winners | 22 | 37 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 61/100 | 89/146 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 37/61 | 59/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 61% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 23/39 | 31/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 59% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/14 | 10/27 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 29% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 7/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 64% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Watanuki | ||||
| R1 McCabe |
R2 Monday |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-612 6-3 | 6-3 6-77 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 | 54 | |
| pts | 95-83 | 106-97 | 201-180 | |
| Total points | 178 | 203 | 381 | |
| Winners | 32 | 41 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 14 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 45/87 | 48/101 | 93/188 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 48% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 41/48 | 73/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 85% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/42 | 33/53 | 58/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 62% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 2/6 | 5/18 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 33% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 4/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Hugo GrenierGrenier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Brandon HoltHolt (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Hyeon ChungChung (0-0) – H2H and prediction
