Jelena Ostapenko and Anastasija Sevastova will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.2
Anastasija Sevastova -> 4.55

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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Anastasija Sevastova

This will be the 3^rd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Anastasija Sevastova face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sevastova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Sevastova won 6-2 4-6 6-0 in the 1^st round in Stuttgart back in 2019.

Jelena Ostapenko

Ranked no. 18, the Latvian will start her run in Madrid after she won the title in Stuttgart after beating 6-4 6-1 Sabalenka in the final.

The Latvian has a compiled 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-4 6-1.

Ostapenko won her last 5 matches.

Talking about her overall career, Ostapenko has an overall 403-248 record. She has a positive 114-55 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2024. See her history.

Anastasija Sevastova

Ranked no. 666, Sevastova reached the 2^nd round after beating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Sevastova had a good straight sets win against Pavlyuchenkova (6-4 7-5). During the match Sevastova scored 101 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 90. The Latvian was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Sevastova scored 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Anastasija Sevastova lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sevastova put 66% of her first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. Sevastova broke Pavlyuchenkova 4 times after converting 25% of her break points (4/16).

Sevastova has an overall 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017. See her history

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Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Elise MertensMertens (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-4) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Diane ParryParry – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction