Vilius Gaubas and Andrea Pellegrino will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rome Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.77
Andrea Pellegrino -> 1.96

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Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Andrea Pellegrino

This will be the 3^rd time that Vilius Gaubas and Andrea Pellegrino clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Gaubas and Pellegrino (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Pellegrino won 6-2 6-1 in the 2^nd round in the Braga Challenger back in 2024.

Vilius Gaubas

Ranked no. 149, Gaubas got to the quarter after beating Khumoun Sultanov 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Oleg Prihodko 6-2 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Gaubas had a good straight sets win against Prihodko (6-2 6-2). During the match, Gaubas scored 57 points vs Prihodko’s 32. Vilius was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gaubas struck 5 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Vilius Gaubas was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 75% (3/4) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gaubas broke Prihodko 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaubas has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Gaubas has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 60% of his matches (141-94). 9-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaubas has an aggregate121-68 record in the last 5 years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Menorca Challenger where he overcame Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.

The Lithuanian has an overall 12-10 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rome Challenger

Andrea Pellegrino

Ranked no. 237, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Jacopo Vasami 5-7 6-4 6-4 and Remy Bertola 1-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Bertola, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Pellegrino scored 83 points vs Bertola’s 81. Andrea was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Pellegrino struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 62% of his first serves in, winning 61% (33/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the 2nd serve. Pellegrino broke Bertola 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Andrea’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Naples Challenger.

Andrea has an aggregate 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rome Challenger

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaubas	Pellegrino
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	43	58
Pts	152-114	195-188
Total Points	266	383
Winners	66	73
%Winners	43%	37%

Both Gaubas and Pellegrino played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Vilius Gaubas lost 1 set, while Andrea Pellegrino lost 2 sets. Gaubas has played 1 set(s) less than Pellegrino (5 vs 6). Therefore, Gaubas played 15 games less than Pellegrino. Vilius scored 66 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea managed to score 73 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaubas	Pellegrino
Aces	10	3
Avg per match	5	1.5
1st in	88/122	119/188
%1st in	72%	63%
1st pts	66/88	73/119
%1st pts	75%	61%
2nd pts	20/34	45/69
%2nd pts	59%	65%

Gaubas recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Pellegrino fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Gaubas won 75% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 61% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaubas	Pellegrino
Won	8	7
Converted	8/16	7/22
% Converted	50%	32%
Conceded	4	14
Saved	1	8
% Saved	25%	57%
Times Broken	3	6

Vilius broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gaubas lost his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. Andrea conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaubas
	R1 Sultanov	R2 Prihodko	Total
Score	3-6 6-4 6-2	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	27	16	43
pts	95-82	57-32	152-114
Total points	177	89	266
Winners	37	29	66
%Winners	39%	51%	43%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	10
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	52/82	36/40	88/122
% 1st in	63%	90%	72%
1st pts	37/52	29/36	66/88
% 1st pts	71%	81%	75%
2nd pts	17/30	3/4	20/34
% 2nd pts	57%	75%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/8	4/8	8/16
Converted %	50%	50%	50%
Conceded	4	0	4
Saved	1/4	0/0	1
Saved %	25%	–	13%
Times Broken	3	0	3

Pellegrino
	R1 Vasami	R2 Bertola	Total
Score	5-7 6-4 6-4	1-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	32	26	58
pts	112-107	83-81	195-188
Total points	219	164	383
Winners	40	33	73
%Winners	36%	40%	37%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	3
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	65/101	54/87	119/188
% 1st in	64%	62%	63%
1st pts	40/65	33/54	73/119
% 1st pts	62%	61%	61%
2nd pts	23/36	22/33	45/69
% 2nd pts	64%	67%	65%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/13	3/9	7/22
Converted %	31%	33%	32%
Conceded	7	7	14
Saved	4/7	4/7	8
Saved %	57%	57%	57%
Times Broken	3	3	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Sandro KoppKopp (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Timofey SkatovSkatov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction