Vilius Gaubas and Andrea Pellegrino will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rome Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.77
Andrea Pellegrino -> 1.96
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Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Andrea Pellegrino
This will be the 3rd time that Vilius Gaubas and Andrea Pellegrino clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Gaubas and Pellegrino (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pellegrino won 6-2 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Braga Challenger back in 2024.
Vilius Gaubas
12 - 10win/loss
154
144
LWLWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-12 | 1-3 | 12-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149, Gaubas got to the quarter after beating Khumoun Sultanov 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Oleg Prihodko 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Gaubas had a good straight sets win against Prihodko (6-2 6-2). During the match, Gaubas scored 57 points vs Prihodko’s 32. Vilius was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gaubas struck 5 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Vilius Gaubas was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 75% (3/4) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gaubas broke Prihodko 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gaubas has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Gaubas has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 60% of his matches (141-94). 9-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaubas has an aggregate121-68 record in the last 5 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Menorca Challenger where he overcame Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.
The Lithuanian has an overall 12-10 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rome Challenger
Andrea Pellegrino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-9 | 0-0 | 18-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-30 | 0-2 | 24-26 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 237, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Jacopo Vasami 5-7 6-4 6-4 and Remy Bertola 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Bertola, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Pellegrino scored 83 points vs Bertola’s 81. Andrea was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Pellegrino struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 62% of his first serves in, winning 61% (33/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the 2nd serve. Pellegrino broke Bertola 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Andrea’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Naples Challenger.
Andrea has an aggregate 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rome Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaubas | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 58 |
| Pts | 152-114 | 195-188 |
| Total Points | 266 | 383 |
| Winners | 66 | 73 |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% |
Both Gaubas and Pellegrino played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Vilius Gaubas lost 1 set, while Andrea Pellegrino lost 2 sets. Gaubas has played 1 set(s) less than Pellegrino (5 vs 6). Therefore, Gaubas played 15 games less than Pellegrino. Vilius scored 66 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea managed to score 73 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaubas | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 88/122 | 119/188 |
| %1st in | 72% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 66/88 | 73/119 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 45/69 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 65% |
Gaubas recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Pellegrino fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Gaubas won 75% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 61% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaubas | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 7/22 |
| % Converted | 50% | 32% |
| Conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 25% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
Vilius broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gaubas lost his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. Andrea conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaubas | ||||
| R1 Sultanov |
R2 Prihodko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 16 | 43 | |
| pts | 95-82 | 57-32 | 152-114 | |
| Total points | 177 | 89 | 266 | |
| Winners | 37 | 29 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 51% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 52/82 | 36/40 | 88/122 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 90% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 37/52 | 29/36 | 66/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 3/4 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 75% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | – | 13% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Pellegrino | ||||
| R1 Vasami |
R2 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 26 | 58 | |
| pts | 112-107 | 83-81 | 195-188 | |
| Total points | 219 | 164 | 383 | |
| Winners | 40 | 33 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 65/101 | 54/87 | 119/188 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/65 | 33/54 | 73/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/36 | 22/33 | 45/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 67% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 3/9 | 7/22 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 33% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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