Madison Keys and Lucia Bronzetti will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.21
Lucia Bronzetti -> 4.4
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Lucia Bronzetti
This will be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Lucia Bronzetti play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Keys won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Auckland back in 2024.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the American will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Charleston where she lost 6-2 6-4 to Kalinskaya in the 3rd round on the 3rd of April.
Madison has an aggregate 20-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
Talking about her overall career, Madison has an overall 405-225 record. She has a positive 90-51 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See her history.
Lucia Bronzetti
10 - 11win/loss
108
46
LLLWLLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-32 | 11-17 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-34 | 17-22 | 9-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 15-17 | 10-9 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-26 | 18-10 | 13-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 14-4 | 38-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 59, the Italian got to the 2nd round after beating Naomi Osaka 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, Lucia defeated Osaka (6-4 2-6 6-4). During the match Bronzetti and Osaka scored the same amount of points (99). However, the world no. 5 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Bronzetti was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Bronzetti wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Lucia Bronzetti lost the serve 4 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Bronzetti put 60% of her first serves in, winning 61% (39/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Osaka 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
The Italian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Napoca.
Bronzetti has an overall 10-11 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.
Head 2 Head
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LLLWLLLLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
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- Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Eva LysLys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francesca JonesJones – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Elise MertensMertens (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diane ParryParry – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
