Jacob Fearnley and Bu Yunchaokete will square off in the 1^st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.66
Bu Yunchaokete -> 2.22

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Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Bu Yunchaokete

This will be the 3^rd time that Jacob Fearnley and Bu Yunchaokete clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Fearnley (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Fearnley won 0-6 6-0 7-6(3) in the semifinal in the Lincoln Challenger back in 2024.

Jacob Fearnley

Ranked no. 68 (career-high), the Brit reached the 1^st round after defeating Pavel Kotov 4-6 6-4 6-1 and Hugo Dellien 7-5 6-1.

In the qualifications, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Dellien (7-5 6-1). During the match, Fearnley scored 72 points vs Dellien’s 57. Fearnley was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fearnley scored 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 61% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Dellien 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Fearnley has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 76% of his matches (89-28). 4-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fearnley has an aggregate4-2 record in the last 5 years on clay.

The Brit’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.

The Brit has a compiled 16-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.

Bu Yunchaokete

Ranked no. 72, Yunchaokete will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 4-6 7-5 6-3 to Musetti in the 1^st round on the 7^th of April.

Bu has an overall 7-12 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, The Chinese has an overall 183-94 record. He has a negative 5-9 record on clay.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Harold MayotMayot – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-7⁷ 7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Laslo DjereDjere – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Hugo GastonGaston (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico Cina
  Cina – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-6⁵ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-6⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Roberto Bautista AgutRoberto – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarJaume (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaFrancisco – Pedro Martinez PorteroPedro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Borna GojoGojo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction