Matteo Arnaldi and Borna Coric will square off in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.56
Borna Coric -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Borna Coric
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Borna Coric since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-9 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Arnaldi will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Barcelona where he lost 3-6 6-3 6-2 to Korda in the 1st round on the 14th of April.
Matteo has a compiled 8-9 win-loss record in 2025, 0-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Matteo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Talking about his overall career, The Italian has an overall 224-143 record. He has a positive 125-66 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
Borna Coric
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-8 | 1-2 | 10-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-27 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 10-10 | 9-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 10-5 | 10-9 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 104, Borna got to the 1st round after beating Otto Virtanen 6-7(1) 7-5 6-2 and Gabriel Diallo 6-3 7-6(6).
In the qualifications, Borna had a good straight sets win against Diallo (6-3 7-66). During the match Coric scored 74 points vs Diallo’s 69. Coric was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Coric made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Borna Coric was very effective on serve to win 74% (39/53) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Borna broke Diallo twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Croatian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Lugano Challenger where he defeated Raphael Collignon in the final 6-3 6-1 and the Thionville Challenger where he defeated Arthur Bouquier in the final 6-4 6-4 and the Zadar Challenger where he beat Valentin Royer in the final 3-6 6-2 6-3.
The Croatian has an overall 21-7 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
Head 2 Head
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LWWLWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Harold MayotMayot – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico CinaCina – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-65 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Laslo DjereDjere – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Hugo GastonGaston (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-77 7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Bautista AgutRoberto – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarJaume (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaFrancisco – Pedro Martinez PorteroPedro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Borna GojoGojo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
