Joao Fonseca and Elmer Moller will face off in the 1^st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.25
Elmer Moller -> 3.94

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Prediction and head to head Joao Fonseca vs. Elmer Moller

There is no head to head record between Joao Fonseca and Elmer Moller since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Joao Fonseca

Ranked no. 65, the Brazilian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Miami where he lost 5-7 7-5 6-3 to De Minaur in the 3^rd round on the 24^th of March.

Joao has an overall 22-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Canberra Challenger where he overcame Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he overcame Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0).

Talking about his overall career, Fonseca has an overall 75-38 record. He has a positive 34-21 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

Elmer Moller

Ranked no. 114 (career-high), Elmer got to the 1^st round after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-1 6-1 and Kamil Majchrzak 5-7 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications against Majchrzak, The Dane recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match Moller scored 105 points vs Majchrzak’s 99. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Moller struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elmer Moller was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (41/57) of his 1st serve and 67% (28/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moller broke Majchrzak twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moller started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Oeiras 4 Challenger where he overcame Francisco Comesana in the final 6-0 6-4.

The Dane has an overall 16-10 win-loss record in 2025, 13-3 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Madrid

Elmer has never competed in this tournament before.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Laslo DjereDjere – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Hugo GastonGaston (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-6⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
  Mpetshi Perricard (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-7⁷ 7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Harold MayotMayot – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico CinaCina – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-6⁵ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Borna GojoGojo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction