Joao Fonseca and Elmer Moller will face off in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.25
Elmer Moller -> 3.94

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Prediction and head to head Joao Fonseca vs. Elmer Moller

There is no head to head record between Joao Fonseca and Elmer Moller since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca

22 - 5win/loss

Hard
17-3
I Hard
0-1
Clay
5-1
Rank
65
High
59
LLLWLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-8 17-3 6-4 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 37-23 8-3 14-11 13-5 2-4 0-0
2023 11-6 1-1 10-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 5-4 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 65, the Brazilian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Miami where he lost 5-7 7-5 6-3 to De Minaur in the 3rd round on the 24th of March.

Joao has an overall 22-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Canberra Challenger where he overcame Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he overcame Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0).

Talking about his overall career, Fonseca has an overall 75-38 record. He has a positive 34-21 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.

Madrid
Fonseca's Record

Elmer Moller

Elmer Moller

16 - 10win/loss

Hard
0-5
I Hard
3-2
Clay
13-3
Rank
108
High
108
LLWWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-14 0-5 15-7 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 62-26 5-3 52-21 5-2 0-0 0-0
2023 48-21 14-11 31-8 3-2 0-0 0-0
2022 26-15 10-5 12-7 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 13-9 8-4 2-4 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 114 (career-high), Elmer got to the 1st round after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-1 6-1 and Kamil Majchrzak 5-7 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications against Majchrzak, The Dane recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match Moller scored 105 points vs Majchrzak’s 99. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Moller struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elmer Moller was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (41/57) of his 1st serve and 67% (28/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moller broke Majchrzak twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moller started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Oeiras 4 Challenger where he overcame Francisco Comesana in the final 6-0 6-4.

The Dane has an overall 16-10 win-loss record in 2025, 13-3 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Madrid

Elmer has never competed in this tournament before.

Madrid
Moller's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

  • Laslo DjereDjereFabio FogniniFognini (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Sebastian OfnerOfnerHugo GastonGaston (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Benjamin BonziBonziMarin CilicCilic (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Arthur RinderknechRinderknechRoman SafiullinSafiullin (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Ethan QuinnQuinnDusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Mariano NavoneNavoneGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Mpetshi Perricard (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Nuno BorgesBorgesPablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-77 7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Harold MayotMayotCorentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Christopher O ConnellO ConnellCamilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Federico CinaCinaChak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-65 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw