Alibek Kachmazov and Rio Noguchi will face off in the 2nd round of the Gwangju Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on SHOW COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alibek Kachmazov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alibek Kachmazov is the pick to win this match.
Alibek Kachmazov -> 1.71
Rio Noguchi -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Alibek Kachmazov vs. Rio Noguchi
There is no head to head record between Alibek Kachmazov and Rio Noguchi since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Alibek Kachmazov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-10 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-28 | 17-13 | 6-6 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 6-8 | 3-6 | 27-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 185, the Russian got to the 2nd round after beating Terence Atmane 7-6(1) ret..
In the 1st round against Atmane, the Russian had a free pass after Atmane retired on a 7-61 . scoreline.
Kachmazov has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (198-130). 2-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kachmazov has a compiled83-62 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Alibek’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Thionville Challenger.
Kachmazov has an overall 8-10 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Gwangju Challenger
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-10 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 254, Noguchi reached the 2nd round after defeating Mats Rosenkranz 6-4 7-6(9), Kasidit Samrej 6-4 6-4 and Sho Shimabukuro 6-4 6-0.
In the 1st round, Rio had a good straight sets win against Shimabukuro (6-4 6-0). During the match Noguchi scored 67 points vs Shimabukuro’s 46. Rio was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Noguchi couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rio Noguchi was very efficient on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Shimabukuro 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he overcame Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
Noguchi has an overall 17-9 win-loss record in 2025, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Gwangju Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 59 |
| Pts | 56-52 | 218-186 |
| Total Points | 108 | 404 |
| Winners | 22 | 108 |
| %Winners | 39% | 50% |
Kachmazov played 1 match while Noguchi competed in 3 matches. Noguchi started his run from the qualifications while Kachmazov had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Kachmazov has played 4 set(s) less than Noguchi (2 vs 6). Therefore, Kachmazov played 46 games less than Noguchi. The Russian scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Noguchi scored 108 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 147/200 |
| %1st in | 63% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 108/147 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 28/53 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 53% |
Kachmazov managed to score 2 aces . Noguchi struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Kachmazov won 63% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Noguchi won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kachmazov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 8 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 8/15 |
| % Converted | 40% | 53% |
| Conceded | 4 | 19 |
| Saved | 2 | 18 |
| % Saved | 50% | 95% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Russian broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 95% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kachmazov | |||
| R1 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 1 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 56-52 | 56-52 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 35/56 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 22/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 10/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Noguchi | |||||
| Q1 Rosenkranz |
Q3 Samrej |
R1 Shimabukuro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-69 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 20 | 16 | 59 | |
| pts | 80-80 | 71-60 | 67-46 | 218-186 | |
| Total points | 160 | 131 | 113 | 404 | |
| Winners | 48 | 30 | 30 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 60% | 42% | 45% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 70/90 | 39/61 | 38/49 | 147/200 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 64% | 78% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 48/70 | 30/39 | 30/38 | 108/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 77% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 13/22 | 6/11 | 28/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 59% | 55% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/3 | 4/10 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 67% | 40% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 6/6 | 4/4 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 100% | 100% | 289% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLLLWWWL
LWWWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Gwangju Challenger
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – James McCabeMcCabe (7-612 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Marat SharipovSharipov (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ilia SimakinSimakin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- James Kent TrotterKent Trotter – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-75 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon HoltHolt – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Li TuTu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-61 ret.) – See score progression
- Omar JasikaJasika – Yi ZhouZhou (7-62 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Kaichi UchidaUchida (7-5 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Uisung ParkPark – Yunseong ChungChung (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Rei SakamotoSakamoto (7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Hyeon ChungChung – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Johannus MondayMonday – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- James Kent TrotterKent Trotter – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-7(5) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – James McCabeMcCabe (7-6(12) 6-3) – See score progression
- Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-6(1) ret.) – See score progression
- Omar JasikaJasika – Yi ZhouZhou (7-6(2) 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hyeon ChungChung – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Omar JasikaJasika – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Uisung ParkPark – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
