Rebecca Sramkova and Maria Lourdes Carle will fight against each other in the 1^st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rebecca Sramkova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rebecca Sramkova is the pick to win this match.
Rebecca Sramkova -> 1.57
Maria Lourdes Carle -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Rebecca Sramkova vs. Maria Lourdes Carle

There is no head to head record between Rebecca Sramkova and Maria Lourdes Carle since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Rebecca Sramkova

Ranked no. 38, Rebecca will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, Group C where she lost 7-6(2) 7-5 to Pera in the Rubber 2 on the 13^th of April.

Sramkova has a compiled 8-11 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the year on clay.

Talking about her overall career, The Slovakian has an overall 367-243 record. She has a positive 196-111 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See her history.

Maria Lourdes Carle

Ranked no. 119, Lourdes reached the 1^st round after beating Daria Snigur 5-7 7-6(7) 6-4 and Bernarda Pera 7-6(4) 6-2.

In the qualifications, Maria had a good straight sets win against Pera (7-6⁴ 6-2). During the match Lourdes scored 75 points vs Pera’s 65. Lourdes was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Lourdes struck 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Maria Lourdes Carle lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Lourdes put 71% of her first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Lourdes broke Pera 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Lourdes has an aggregate 14-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2024. See her history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Lulu SunSun – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (3-6 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-4 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Caroline DolehideDolehide – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
  Camila Osorio Serrano – Emiliana ArangoArango (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (5-7 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-2 5-7 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexandra EalaEala – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Renata ZarazuaZarazua (6-2 4-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Mayar SherifSherif (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (4-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tsung-Hao HuangHuang – Sheng TangTang (6-2 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ching-Mou YuYu – Aoran Wang
  Wang (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Fajing SunSun – Liran ChenChen (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jie CuiCui – Hanyi LiuLiu (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zihao XiaXia – Rui-Xuan WangWang (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yan BaiBai – Xiaoyu HeHe (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yecong HeHe – Hao WuWu (7-6¹ 6-7⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ray HoHo – Wei-De LinLin (6-4 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Panna UdvardyUdvardy (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Suzan LamensLamens – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mccartney KesslerKessler – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bernarda PeraPera – Jana FettFett (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Ann LiLi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesca JonesJones – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Diane ParryParry – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-8) – H2H and prediction
• Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Elise MertensMertens (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-0) – H2H and prediction