Dayana Yastremska and Francesca Jones will play each other in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on COURT 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dayana Yastremska who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Dayana Yastremska is the pick to win this match.
Dayana Yastremska -> 1.53
Francesca Jones -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Dayana Yastremska vs. Francesca Jones

There is no head to head record between Dayana Yastremska and Francesca Jones since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Dayana Yastremska

Dayana Yastremska

15 - 9win/loss

Hard
8-7
I Hard
4-1
Clay
3-1
Rank
45
High
21
LWLWWLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-10 8-7 3-2 4-1 0-0 0-0
2024 22-22 12-12 5-5 2-2 3-3 0-0
2023 39-29 19-13 12-9 5-4 3-3 0-0
2022 21-25 7-11 5-4 7-6 2-4 0-0
2021 7-12 3-8 2-1 2-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 46, Yastremska will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Stuttgart where she lost 6-3 3-0 ret. to Ostapenko in the 1st round on the 15th of April.

Dayana has a compiled 14-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Linz.

Talking about her overall career, Dayana has an overall 245-177 record. She has a positive 80-46 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See her history.

Madrid
Yastremska's Record

Francesca Jones

Francesca Jones

17 - 7win/loss

Hard
7-3
I Hard
2-1
Clay
8-3
Rank
126
High
123
LWWLWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-7 7-3 8-3 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 33-18 3-3 28-13 0-0 2-2 0-0
2023 21-11 1-2 18-7 2-2 0-0 0-0
2022 0-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 30-21 6-5 24-12 0-0 0-4 0-0

Ranked no. 138, the Brit reached the 1st round after defeating Laura Siegemund 6-4 6-3 and Cristina Bucsa 7-6(3) 3-6 6-1.

In the qualifications, Jones defeated Bucsa (7-63 3-6 6-1). During the match Jones scored 98 points vs Bucsa’s 87. Jones was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Jones blasted 2 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Francesca Jones lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Jones put 58% of her first serves in, winning 61% (34/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (26/41) on the 2nd serve. Jones broke Bucsa 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jones started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the W75 Vacaria where she defeated Leolia Jeanjean in the final 1-6 6-4 6-1.

Francesca has a composed 17-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Jones has never competed in this tournament before.

Madrid
Jones's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

  • Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio SerranoEmiliana ArangoArango (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Peyton StearnsStearnsKimberly BirrellBirrell (5-7 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Hailey BaptisteBaptisteSorana CirsteaCirstea (6-2 5-7 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Alexandra Eala
    EalaViktoriya TomovaTomova (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Marie BouzkovaBouzkovaRenata ZarazuaZarazua (6-2 4-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas ManeiroMayar SherifSherif (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Katie BoulterBoulterKaterina SiniakovaSiniakova (4-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Lulu SunSunVarvara GrachevaGracheva (3-6 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Lucia BronzettiBronzettiNaomi OsakaOsaka (6-4 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Caroline DolehideDolehideElina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Fajing SunSunLiran ChenChen (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Tsung-Hao HuangHuangSheng TangTang (6-2 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Ching-Mou YuYuAoran WangWang (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Yecong HeHeHao WuWu (7-61 6-74 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Ray HoHoWei-De LinLin (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Jie CuiCuiHanyi LiuLiu (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Zihao XiaXiaRui-Xuan WangWang (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Yan BaiBaiXiaoyu HeHe (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw