Hugo Gaston and Sebastian Ofner will square off in the 1^st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on COURT 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.48
Sebastian Ofner -> 2.65

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Sebastian Ofner

This will be the 4^th time that Hugo Gaston and Sebastian Ofner play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Ofner (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played, Ofner won 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) in the quarter in the Mauthausen Challenger back in 2023.

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 80, Hugo reached the 1^st round after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 and Luca Nardi 6-4 6-2.

In the qualifications, Gaston had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-4 6-2). During the match, Gaston scored 69 points vs Nardi’s 57. Gaston was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gaston managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Hugo Gaston was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Nardi 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hugo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Gaston has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (252-196). 3-6 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaston has an overall 134-85 match record in the last years on clay.

The French player has a composed 11-13 win-loss record in 2025, 3-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Sebastian Ofner

Ranked no. 153, Ofner will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in the Madrid Challenger where he lost 4-6 6-3 6-3 to Gaubas in the 2^nd

round on the 10^th of April.

Ofner has an overall 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, Sebastian has an overall 321-242 record. He has a positive 155-115 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Hugo GastonGaston – Luca NardiNardi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Borna CoricCoric – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-3 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-6 7-6⁵ 7-6⁰) – See score progression
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6³ 5-7 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-4 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
• Harold MayotMayot – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Hugo DellienDellien (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Dusan LajovicLajovic – Cristian GarinGarin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Borna GojoGojo – Jerome KymKym (7-6¹² 6-3) – See score progression
• Elmer MollerMoller – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-6³ 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-6 6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-4 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
• Elmer MollerMoller – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(0)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Laslo DjereDjere (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Borna GojoGojo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dusan LajovicLajovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Hugo GastonGaston (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction