Ethan Quinn and Dusan Lajovic will face off in the 1^st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dusan Lajovic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Dusan Lajovic is the pick to win this match.
Dusan Lajovic -> 1.53
Ethan Quinn -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Ethan Quinn vs. Dusan Lajovic

There is no head to head record between Ethan Quinn and Dusan Lajovic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Ethan Quinn

Ranked no. 119 (career-high), Ethan reached the 1^st round after defeating Billy Harris 6-3 6-4 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(0).

In the qualifications against Moura Monteiro, Ethan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-6⁵ 7-6⁰).During the match, Quinn scored less points (3) than Moura Monteiro. In fact, the world no. 119 won 111 points vs Moura Monteiro’s. That means that Quinn was more focused during the important points. Ethan was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Quinn bagged 12 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Overall, Ethan Quinn was very efficient on serve to win 74% (42/57) of his 1st serve and 58% (34/59) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Ethan broke Moura Monteiro once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Quinn started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this event to win 51% of the points he played.

Quinn has a winning win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 59% of his matches (112-78). 5-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Quinn has an aggregate13-13 match record in the last 5 years on clay.

Ethan’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Canberra Challenger.

Quinn has a composed 24-11 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Dusan Lajovic

Ranked no. 138, the Serbian got to the 1^st round after defeating Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 7-6(6) and Cristian Garin 6-4 6-2.

In the qualifications, Dusan had a good straight sets win against Garin (6-4 6-2). During the match Lajovic scored 70 points vs Garin’s 55. Dusan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Lajovic recorded 7 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Dusan Lajovic lost the serve once. Furthermore, Lajovic put 70% of his first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Garin 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lajovic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

The Serbian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Girona Challenger.

Dusan has an aggregate 14-14 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2018. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Quinn	Lajovic
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	53	40
Pts	179-170	137-119
Total Points	349	256
Winners	75	56
%Winners	42%	41%

Both Quinn and Lajovic played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Ethan Quinn dropped 1 set while Dusan Lajovic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Quinn has played 1 set more than Lajovic (5 vs 4). Therefore, Quinn played 13 games more than Lajovic. The American scored 75 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Serbian fired 56 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Quinn	Lajovic
Aces	19	9
Avg per match	9.5	4.5
1st in	95/181	81/123
%1st in	52%	66%
1st pts	75/95	56/81
%1st pts	79%	69%
2nd pts	47/86	24/42
%2nd pts	55%	57%

Quinn made 19 aces (9.5 per match). Lajovic bagged 9 aces (4.5 per match). Quinn won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Lajovic won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Quinn	Lajovic
Won	3	7
Converted	3/11	7/16
% Converted	27%	44%
Conceded	13	6
Saved	10	3
% Saved	77%	50%
Times Broken	3	3

Ethan broke his opponents 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. The Serbian broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Lajovic conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Quinn
	Q1 Harris	Q3 Moura Monteiro	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	2-6 7-65 7-60
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	34	53
pts	68-56	111-114	179-170
Total points	124	225	349
Winners	33	42	75
%Winners	49%	38%	42%
SERVE
Aces	7	12	19
Double Faults	4	10	14
1st in	38/65	57/116	95/181
% 1st in	58%	49%	52%
1st pts	33/38	42/57	75/95
% 1st pts	87%	74%	79%
2nd pts	13/27	34/59	47/86
% 2nd pts	48%	58%	55%
Breaks
Won	2	1	3
Converted	2/4	1/7	3/11
Converted %	50%	14%	27%
Conceded	3	10	13
Saved	3/3	7/10	10
Saved %	100%	70%	85%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Lajovic
	Q1 Agustin	Q3 Garin	Total
Score	6-3 7-66	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	18	40
pts	67-64	70-55	137-119
Total points	131	125	256
Winners	28	28	56
%Winners	42%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	2	7	9
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	46/73	35/50	81/123
% 1st in	63%	70%	66%
1st pts	28/46	28/35	56/81
% 1st pts	61%	80%	69%
2nd pts	18/27	6/15	24/42
% 2nd pts	67%	40%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/4	4/12	7/16
Converted %	75%	33%	44%
Conceded	5	1	6
Saved	3/5	0/1	3
Saved %	60%	0%	30%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Fabio FogniniFognini – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-4 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
• Borna CoricCoric – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-3 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-6 7-6⁵ 7-6⁰) – See score progression
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6³ 5-7 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Hugo GastonGaston – Luca NardiNardi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Harold MayotMayot – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Hugo DellienDellien (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Dusan LajovicLajovic – Cristian GarinGarin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Borna GojoGojo – Jerome KymKym (7-6¹² 6-3) – See score progression
• Elmer MollerMoller – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-6³ 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-6 6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-4 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
• Elmer MollerMoller – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ethan QuinnQuinn – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(0)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Laslo DjereDjere (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Borna GojoGojo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dusan LajovicLajovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Hugo GastonGaston (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction