H2H, prediction of Francesco Maestrelli vs Lorenzo Carboni in Rome Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 23rd April 2025

PREVIEW. Rome Challenger. Maestrelli and Carboni will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Rome Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 23rd of April

Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Lorenzo Carboni

Francesco Maestrelli and Lorenzo Carboni will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Rome Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:00 am on COURT 2 DECATHLON. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.57
Lorenzo Carboni -> 2.28

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Lorenzo Carboni

There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Lorenzo Carboni since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Francesco Maestrelli

Francesco Maestrelli
Francesco Maestrelli

6 - 7win/loss

Hard
3-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-4
Rank
303
High
149
LWWLWWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-9 3-3 6-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 37-36 11-7 21-23 5-5 0-1 0-0
2023 27-38 9-10 16-24 2-3 0-1 0-0
2022 44-24 5-4 34-12 5-8 0-0 0-0
2021 32-18 8-3 18-12 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 296, Francesco reached the 2nd round after defeating Henri Squire 7-5 2-6 7-6(3).

In the 1st round, The Italian defeated Squire (7-5 2-6 7-63).During the match, Maestrelli scored less points (4) than Squire. In fact, the world no. 296 won 103 points vs Squire’s. That means that Maestrelli was more focused during the important points. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Maestrelli bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 66% of his first serves in, winning 62% (45/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Squire 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Maestrelli has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 53% of his matches (155-135). 3-4 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maestrelli has a compiled98-82 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

The Italian has an aggregate 6-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rome Challenger

Maestrelli
Rome Challenger
Maestrelli's Record

Lorenzo Carboni

Lorenzo Carboni
Lorenzo Carboni

26 - 10win/loss

Hard
22-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-3
Rank
615
High
615
LWWWLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-12 22-7 7-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 18-26 8-7 10-19 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 34-20 15-7 19-12 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 633, Lorenzo got to the 2nd round after beating Duje Ajdukovic 3-6 6-1 6-4.

In the 1st round against Ajdukovic, Carboni recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Carboni scored 83 points vs Ajdukovic’s 70. Carboni was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Carboni made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Carboni was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Carboni broke Ajdukovic 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

The Italian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.

Lorenzo has an overall 26-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rome Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Carboni
Rome Challenger
Carboni's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

F.Maestrelli
L.Carboni
!
2h:43
2h:43
Time on court​
1h:43
1h:43
!
2h:43
2h:43
Last match​
1h:43
1h:43
1
1
Match played
1
1
33
33
Games Played​
26
26
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
103
103
Total points​
83
83
103
103
Avg point​
83
83
45
45
Winners
37
37
45
45
Avg Winners​
37
37
44%
44%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
3
3
4
4
Avg Aces
3
3
1
1
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
45/73
45/73
1st won total​
37/50
37/50
62%
62%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
22/38
22/38
2nd won total​
14/27
14/27
58%
58%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
4/9
4/9
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
38%
38%
Won
44%
44%
10
10
Conceded
3
3
10
10
Avg Conceded
3
3
4
4
Broken
2
2
4
4
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Maestrelli Carboni
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 26
Pts 103-107 83-70
Total Points 210 153
Winners 45 37
%Winners 44% 45%

Both Maestrelli and Carboni played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Maestrelli dropped 1 set, while Lorenzo Carboni dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Maestrelli and Carboni have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Maestrelli played 7 games more than Carboni. Maestrelli scored 45 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo recorded 37 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Maestrelli Carboni
Aces 4 3
Avg per match 4 3
1st in 73/111 50/77
%1st in 66% 65%
1st pts 45/73 37/50
%1st pts 62% 74%
2nd pts 22/38 14/27
%2nd pts 58% 52%

Maestrelli scored 4 aces . Carboni recorded 3 aces . Maestrelli won 62% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Carboni won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Maestrelli Carboni
Won 3 4
Converted 3/8 4/9
% Converted 38% 44%
Conceded 10 3
Saved 6 1
% Saved 60% 33%
Times Broken 4 2

Maestrelli broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Francesco dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Maestrelli
R1
Squire
Total
Score 7-5 2-6 7-63
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 33
pts 103-107 103-107
Total points 210 210
Winners 45 45
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 73/111 73/111
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 45/73 45/73
% 1st pts 62% 62%
2nd pts 22/38 22/38
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 6/10 6
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 4 4
Carboni
R1
Ajdukovic
Total
Score 3-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 26
pts 83-70 83-70
Total points 153 153
Winners 37 37
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 50/77 50/77
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 37/50 37/50
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 14/27 14/27
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Maestrelli
LWWLWWLLWL
Carboni
LWWWLWLLWL
2025 2024 2023
9 - 9
29 - 12
3-3
Hard
22-7
6-6
Clay
7-5

Tennis Scores in Rome Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

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