Nuno Borges and Pablo Carreno-Busta will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nuno Borges who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nuno Borges is the pick to win this match.
Nuno Borges -> 1.62
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.3

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Prediction and head to head Nuno Borges vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

There is no head to head record between Nuno Borges and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Nuno Borges

Nuno Borges

16 - 12win/loss

Hard
11-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
4-3
Rank
47
High
30
LWWLLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-33 17-14 9-11 3-4 4-4 0-0
2024 33-26 20-12 13-7 0-4 0-3 0-0
2023 37-26 20-11 8-7 6-4 3-4 0-0
2022 49-26 7-5 28-13 11-5 3-3 0-0
2021 52-21 6-4 46-17 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 41, the Portuguese will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 6-1 6-1 to Tsitsipas in the 3rd round on the 10th of April.

The Portuguese has a composed 16-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Borges’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Auckland and the Phoenix Challenger.

Talking about his overall career, Borges has an overall 299-145 record. He has a positive 126-59 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Madrid
Borges's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

19 - 11win/loss

Hard
13-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
5-5
Rank
89
High
10
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-27 25-10 14-14 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 96, Pablo will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Barcelona where he lost 7-6(6) 6-3 to Fils in the 1st round on the 15th of April.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 19-11 win-loss record in 2025, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

In terms of his career, Carreno-Busta has an overall 590-338 record. He has a positive 347-176 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See his history.

Madrid
Carreno-Busta's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw