Nuno Borges and Pablo Carreno-Busta will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nuno Borges who should win in 3 sets.
Nuno Borges -> 1.62
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.3
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Nuno Borges vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
There is no head to head record between Nuno Borges and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-33 | 17-14 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41, the Portuguese will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 6-1 6-1 to Tsitsipas in the 3rd round on the 10th of April.
The Portuguese has a composed 16-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Borges’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Auckland and the Phoenix Challenger.
Talking about his overall career, Borges has an overall 299-145 record. He has a positive 126-59 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
19 - 11win/loss
89
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-27 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 96, Pablo will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Barcelona where he lost 7-6(6) 6-3 to Fils in the 1st round on the 15th of April.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 19-11 win-loss record in 2025, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.
In terms of his career, Carreno-Busta has an overall 590-338 record. He has a positive 347-176 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See his history.
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-63 5-7 7-65) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Hugo DellienDellien (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-6 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-63 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Luca NardiNardi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Harold MayotMayot – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Jerome KymKym (7-612 6-3) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Cristian GarinGarin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-6(3) 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Hugo DellienDellien (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-3 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Luca NardiNardi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6(3) 5-7 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Jerome KymKym (7-6(12) 6-3) – See score progression
- Harold MayotMayot – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-6 6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Cristian GarinGarin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Fabio FogniniFognini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction