Thiago Moura Monteiro and Ethan Quinn will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.75
Ethan Quinn -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Ethan Quinn
There is no head to head record between Thiago Moura Monteiro and Ethan Quinn since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
16 - 11win/loss
106
61
LLWLLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-12 | 3-3 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-27 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 94, Thiago reached the qualifications after beating Mitchell Krueger 7-5 6-3.
In the qualifications, Thiago had a good straight sets win against Krueger (7-5 6-3). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 71 points vs Krueger’s 53. The Brazilian was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Moura Monteiro fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Thiago Moura Monteiro was quite effective on serve to win 88% (23/26) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moura Monteiro broke Krueger 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Moura Monteiro has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (357-275). 13-7 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moura Monteiro has a composed 287-178 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Brazilian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Santiago Challenger and the Asuncion Challenger.
Thiago has a composed 16-10 win-loss record in 2025, 13-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Ethan Quinn
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-12 | 16-7 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-34 | 17-18 | 2-7 | 13-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-16 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-14 | 21-7 | 6-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119 (career-high), Quinn reached the qualifications after defeating Billy Harris 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Quinn had a good straight sets win against Harris (6-3 6-4). During the match Quinn scored 68 points vs Harris’s 56. Quinn was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Quinn bagged 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ethan Quinn conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Quinn put 58% of his first serves in, winning 87% (33/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Ethan broke Harris twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Quinn’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Canberra Challenger.
Quinn has an overall 23-11 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Quinn has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moura Monteiro | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 19 |
| Pts | 71-53 | 68-56 |
| Total Points | 124 | 124 |
| Winners | 23 | 33 |
| %Winners | 32% | 49% |
Both Moura Monteiro and Quinn played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Moura Monteiro and Quinn have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Moura Monteiro played 2 games more than Quinn. The Brazilian scored 23 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 33 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moura Monteiro | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 7 |
| 1st in | 26/52 | 38/65 |
| %1st in | 50% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 33/38 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 13/27 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 48% |
Moura Monteiro bagged 8 aces . Quinn bagged 7 aces . Moura Monteiro won 88% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Quinn won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moura Monteiro | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Brazilian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Thiago dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Ethan broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Quinn was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Moura Monteiro | |||
| Q1 Krueger |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 71-53 | 71-53 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/52 | 26/52 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 23/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 17/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Quinn | |||
| Q1 Harris |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 68-56 | 68-56 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/65 | 38/65 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 33/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 13/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWWWL
LWWWLWWLWL 
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