Rinky Hijikata and Fabio Fognini will square off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on COURT 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Fabio Fognini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Fabio Fognini is the pick to win this match.
Fabio Fognini -> 1.64
Rinky Hijikata -> 2.15

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Rinky Hijikata vs. Fabio Fognini

There is no head to head record between Rinky Hijikata and Fabio Fognini since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Rinky Hijikata

Ranked no. 84, Rinky reached the qualifications after defeating Lloyd Harris 6-4 6-7(11) 4-1 ret..

In the qualifications against Lloyd, the Australian had a free pass after Lloyd retired on a 6-4 6-7¹¹ 4-1 . scoreline.

Hijikata has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (210-144). 1-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Hijikata has an overall21-25 record in the last 9 years on clay.

Hijikata has a compiled 9-13 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Hijikata has never competed in this tournament before.

Fabio Fognini

Ranked no. 112, the Italian reached the qualifications after beating Alexander Ritschard 6-1 7-6(6).

In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ritschard (6-1 7-6⁶). During the match Fognini scored 79 points vs Ritschard’s 61. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Fognini struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 72% of his first serves in, winning 79% (37/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (6/18) on the 2nd serve. Fognini broke Ritschard 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Fabio has a compiled 2-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Hijikata	Fognini
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	4	2
Tot Games	28	20
Pts	114-105	79-61
Total Points	219	140
Winners	49	37
%Winners	43%	47%

Both Hijikata and Fognini played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Rinky Hijikata dropped 1 set while Fabio Fognini hasn’t lost a set so far. Hijikata has played 2 sets more than Fognini (4 vs 2). Therefore, Hijikata played 8 games more than Fognini. Rinky scored 49 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 37 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Hijikata	Fognini
Aces	7	3
Avg per match	7	3
1st in	69/106	47/65
%1st in	65%	72%
1st pts	49/69	37/47
%1st pts	71%	79%
2nd pts	21/37	6/18
%2nd pts	57%	33%

Hijikata managed to score 7 aces . Fognini recorded 3 aces . Hijikata won 71% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Fognini won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 33% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Hijikata	Fognini
Won	4	4
Converted	4/14	4/9
% Converted	29%	44%
Conceded	12	5
Saved	10	3
% Saved	83%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Hijikata broke his opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. Rinky dropped his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Fabio broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Fognini conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Hijikata
	Q1 Lloyd	Total
Score	6-4 6-711 4-1 ret.
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	28	28
pts	114-105	114-105
Total points	219	219
Winners	49	49
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	69/106	69/106
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	49/69	49/69
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	21/37	21/37
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/14	4/14
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	12	12
Saved	10/12	10
Saved %	83%	83%
Times Broken	2	2

Fognini
	Q1 Ritschard	Total
Score	6-1 7-66
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	79-61	79-61
Total points	140	140
Winners	37	37
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	47/65	47/65
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	37/47	37/47
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	6/18	6/18
% 2nd pts	33%	33%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dusan LajovicLajovic – Christian GarinGarin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marin CilicCilic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Borna GojoGojo – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Valentin RoyerRoyer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan BoyerBoyer – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Fabio FogniniFognini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Hugo DellienDellien (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Borna CoricCoric (1-0) – H2H and prediction