Bernarda Pera and Maria Lourdes Carle will square off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on COURT 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Lourdes Carle who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maria Lourdes Carle is the pick to win this match.
Maria Lourdes Carle -> 1.69
Bernarda Pera -> 2.07

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Prediction and head to head Bernarda Pera vs. Maria Lourdes Carle

There is no head to head record between Bernarda Pera and Maria Lourdes Carle since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Bernarda Pera

Ranked no. 81, Bernarda got to the qualifications after defeating Ruth Roura Llaverias 6-2 6-4.

In the qualifications, Pera had a good straight sets win against Roura Llaverias (6-2 6-4). During the match, Pera scored 55 points vs Roura Llaverias’s 45. Bernarda was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pera struck 11 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Bernarda Pera conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Pera put 77% of her first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (5/12) on the 2nd serve. Pera broke Roura Llaverias 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Pera has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (268-202). 1-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pera has a composed 128-58 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Pera has an aggregate 10-11 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Maria Lourdes Carle

Ranked no. 119, Maria got to the qualifications after beating Daria Snigur 5-7 7-6(7) 6-4.

In the qualifications against Snigur, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-6⁷ 6-4). During the match Lourdes scored 115 points vs Snigur’s 112. Maria was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Lourdes couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 9 double faults. Maria Lourdes Carle lost the serve 9 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Lourdes put 74% of her first serves in, winning 55% (47/85) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (9/30) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Snigur 9 times after converting 50% of her break points (9/18).

Maria has an aggregate 13-11 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pera	Lourdes
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	18	35
Pts	55-45	115-112
Total Points	100	227
Winners	32	47
%Winners	58%	41%

Both Pera and Lourdes played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Maria Lourdes Carle conceded 1 set while Bernarda Pera hasn’t lost a set so far. Pera has played 1 set(s) less than Lourdes (2 vs 3). Therefore, Pera played 17 games less than Lourdes. The American scored 32 winners (58% of the total points). On the other side, Maria made 47 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pera	Lourdes
Aces	11	0
Avg per match	11	0
1st in	40/52	85/115
%1st in	77%	74%
1st pts	32/40	47/85
%1st pts	80%	55%
2nd pts	5/12	9/30
%2nd pts	42%	30%

Pera managed to score 11 aces . Lourdes didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pera won 80% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Lourdes won 55% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 30% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pera	Lourdes
Won	3	9
Converted	3/5	9/18
% Converted	60%	50%
Conceded	2	15
Saved	2	6
% Saved	100%	40%
Times Broken	0	9

Pera broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Pera had a solid display on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Argentine broke her opponent 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.

Pera
	Q1 Roura	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	55-45	55-45
Total points	100	100
Winners	32	32
%Winners	58%	58%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	40/52	40/52
% 1st in	77%	77%
1st pts	32/40	32/40
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	5/12	5/12
% 2nd pts	42%	42%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/5	3/5
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Lourdes
	Q1 Snigur	Total
Score	5-7 7-67 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	35	35
pts	115-112	115-112
Total points	227	227
Winners	47	47
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	9	9
1st in	85/115	85/115
% 1st in	74%	74%
1st pts	47/85	47/85
% 1st pts	55%	55%
2nd pts	9/30	9/30
% 2nd pts	30%	30%
Breaks
Won	9	9
Converted	9/18	9/18
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	15	15
Saved	6/15	6
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	9	9

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Liran ChenChen – Zhao ZhaoZhao (1-6 6-3 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Qun GaoGao – Ye Cong MoCong Mo (6-7⁵ 6-3 10-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Haitong XiaXia – Linang XiaoXiao (2-6 6-1 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sheng TangTang – Sida ZengZeng (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings

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