Dusan Lajovic and Cristian Garin will square off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dusan Lajovic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dusan Lajovic is the pick to win this match.
Dusan Lajovic -> 1.63
Cristian Garin -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Dusan Lajovic vs. Cristian Garin
This will be the 4th time that Dusan Lajovic and Cristian Garin clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Garin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Garin won 4-6 6-4 3-0 ret. in the R in Atp cup back in 2022.
Highlights Cristian Garin vs Dusan Lajovic – Atp cup 03-January-2022
Dusan Lajovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-17 | 4-8 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-23 | 3-7 | 13-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 9-9 | 18-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-30 | 4-11 | 24-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-28 | 8-10 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 138, Lajovic got to the qualifications after defeating Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 7-6(6).
In the qualifications, Dusan had a good straight sets win against Agustin Tirante (6-3 7-66). During the match, Lajovic scored 67 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 64. Dusan was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Lajovic struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Dusan Lajovic lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Lajovic put 63% of his first serves in, winning 61% (28/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the 2nd serve. Dusan broke Agustin Tirante 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Lajovic has a losing record in the last 10 years having won only 49% of his matches (248-260). 9-6 on clay in 2025. . Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Lajovic has a compiled 142-114 record in the last years on clay.
The Serbian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Girona Challenger.
Lajovic has a compiled 13-14 win-loss record in 2025, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-10 | 5-4 | 11-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-18 | 2-6 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 214, the Chilean got to the qualifications after defeating Chun Hsin Tseng 2-6 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications against Hsin Tseng, Garin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Garin and Hsin Tseng scored the same amount of points (100). However, the world no. 138 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Chilean was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Garin scored 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 56% of his first serves in, winning 74% (46/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (19/49) on the 2nd serve. Garin broke Hsin Tseng 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Christian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Merida Challenger.
The Chilean has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lajovic | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 29 |
| Pts | 67-64 | 100-100 |
| Total Points | 131 | 200 |
| Winners | 28 | 46 |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% |
Both Lajovic and Garin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Cristian Garin lost 1 set while Dusan Lajovic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Lajovic has played 1 set(s) less than Garin (2 vs 3). Therefore, Lajovic played 7 games less than Garin. Lajovic scored 28 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Christian managed to score 46 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lajovic | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 46/73 | 62/111 |
| %1st in | 63% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 28/46 | 46/62 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 18/27 | 19/49 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 39% |
Lajovic fired 2 aces . Garin struck 6 aces . Lajovic won 61% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lajovic | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 60% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Serbian broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Lajovic lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Lajovic | |||
| Q1 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 67-64 | 67-64 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 46/73 | 46/73 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/46 | 28/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/27 | 18/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Garin | |||
| Q1 Hsin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 100-100 | 100-100 | |
| Total points | 200 | 200 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 62/111 | 62/111 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 46/62 | 46/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/49 | 19/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWWLW
WWWWWLWLWL 
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