Naomi Osaka and Lucia Bronzetti will square off in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.26
Lucia Bronzetti -> 3.85

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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Lucia Bronzetti

This will be the 3rd time that Naomi Osaka and Lucia Bronzetti clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Osaka won 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in Beijing back in 2024.

Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Lucia Bronzetti – Beijing 25-September-2024

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

9 - 4win/loss

Hard
9-4
I Hard
0-0
Rank
16
High
1
WWLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-15 24-9 8-3 0-0 3-3 0-0
2024 22-18 13-10 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 55, Osaka will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Miami where she lost 3-6 6-4 6-4 to Paolini in the 4th round on the 24th of March.

The Japanese has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the year on clay.

Osaka’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Auckland.

Talking about her overall career, Osaka has an overall 269-149 record. She has a positive 39-31 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history.

Madrid
Osaka's Record

Lucia Bronzetti

Lucia Bronzetti

9 - 11win/loss

Hard
5-7
I Hard
4-2
Clay
0-2
Rank
105
High
46
LLWLLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-31 11-17 4-7 5-4 1-3 0-0
2024 31-34 17-22 9-8 3-1 2-3 0-0
2023 32-30 15-17 10-9 4-2 3-2 0-0
2022 36-26 18-10 13-10 3-3 2-3 0-0
2021 53-23 14-4 38-14 1-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 59, the Italian will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Rouen where she lost 6-2 6-3 to Rakotomanga in the 1st round on the 14th of April.

Bronzetti has a composed 9-11 win-loss record in 2025, 0-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Napoca.

In terms of her career, The Italian has an overall 303-229 record. She has a positive 155-114 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.

Madrid
Bronzetti's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw