Naomi Osaka and Lucia Bronzetti will square off in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.26
Lucia Bronzetti -> 3.85
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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Lucia Bronzetti
This will be the 3rd time that Naomi Osaka and Lucia Bronzetti clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Osaka won 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in Beijing back in 2024.
Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Lucia Bronzetti – Beijing 25-September-2024
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-15 | 24-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-18 | 13-10 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, Osaka will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Miami where she lost 3-6 6-4 6-4 to Paolini in the 4th round on the 24th of March.
The Japanese has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
This will be the first match of the year on clay.
Osaka’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Auckland.
Talking about her overall career, Osaka has an overall 269-149 record. She has a positive 39-31 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history.
Lucia Bronzetti
9 - 11win/loss
105
46
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-31 | 11-17 | 4-7 | 5-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-34 | 17-22 | 9-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 15-17 | 10-9 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-26 | 18-10 | 13-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 14-4 | 38-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 59, the Italian will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Rouen where she lost 6-2 6-3 to Rakotomanga in the 1st round on the 14th of April.
Bronzetti has a composed 9-11 win-loss record in 2025, 0-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Napoca.
In terms of her career, The Italian has an overall 303-229 record. She has a positive 155-114 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Ching-Mou YuYu – Aoran WangWang (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fajing SunSun – Liran ChenChen (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tsung-Hao HuangHuang – Sheng TangTang (6-2 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zihao XiaXia – Rui-Xuan WangWang (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yan BaiBai – Xiaoyu HeHe (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yecong HeHe – Hao WuWu (7-61 6-74 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ray HoHo – Wei-De LinLin (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jie CuiCui – Hanyi LiuLiu (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daria SnigurSnigur – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Olivia GadeckiGadecki – Panna UdvardyUdvardy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesca JonesJones – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jana FettFett – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elsa JacquemotJacquemot – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Diane ParryParry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emiliana ArangoArango – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Suzan LamensLamens – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lulu SunSun – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Mayar SherifSherif (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Caroline DolehideDolehide (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-8) – H2H and prediction
- Viktoriya TomovaTomova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction