Rio Noguchi and Kasidit Samrej will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Gwangju Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on COURT 8. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.49
Kasidit Samrej -> 2.47

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Kasidit Samrej

This will be the 2^nd time that Rio Noguchi and Kasidit Samrej face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Samrej (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Samrej won 3-6 7-5 6-4 in the qualifications in the Kobe Challenger back in 2024.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 252, Noguchi reached the qualifications after defeating Mats Rosenkranz 6-4 7-6(9).

In the qualifications, Noguchi had a good straight sets win against Rosenkranz (6-4 7-6⁹). During the match, Noguchi and Rosenkranz scored the same amount of points (80). However, the world no. 252 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about the service games, Noguchi made 5 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 78% of his first serves in, winning 69% (48/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rosenkranz twice.

Noguchi has positive record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (344-237). 15-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has a compiled 239-149 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he beat Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

Noguchi has a composed 15-9 win-loss record in 2025, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Gwangju Challenger

Kasidit Samrej

Ranked no. 406, will start his run in the Gwangju Challenger after he played his last match in the Gwangju Challenger where he overcame 6-7(2) 6-4 7-5 to Sun in the qualifications on the 20^th of April.

The Thai has a composed 5-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, Samrej has an overall 113-92 record. He has a positive 109-87 record on hard.

Previously in the Gwangju Challenger

The Thai has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Noguchi	Samrej
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	23	35
Pts	80-80	135-132
Total Points	160	267
Winners	48	41
%Winners	60%	30%

Both Noguchi and Samrej played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Kasidit Samrej conceded 1 set while Rio Noguchi hasn’t conceded a set so far. Noguchi has played 1 set(s) less than Samrej (2 vs 3). Therefore, Noguchi played 12 games less than Samrej. Noguchi scored 48 winners (60% of the total points). On the other side, Kasidit blasted 41 winners (30%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Noguchi	Samrej
Aces	5	13
Avg per match	5	13
1st in	70/90	76/147
%1st in	78%	52%
1st pts	48/70	41/76
%1st pts	69%	54%
2nd pts	9/20	35/71
%2nd pts	45%	49%

Noguchi scored 5 aces . Samrej recorded 13 aces . Noguchi won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Samrej won 54% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Noguchi	Samrej
Won	2	10
Converted	2/2	10/22
% Converted	100%	45%
Conceded	9	26
Saved	8	18
% Saved	89%	69%
Times Broken	1	8

The Japanese broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Rio lost his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The Thai broke his opponent 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Thai conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Noguchi
	Q1 Rosenkranz	Total
Score	6-4 7-69
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	23	23
pts	80-80	80-80
Total points	160	160
Winners	48	48
%Winners	60%	60%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	70/90	70/90
% 1st in	78%	78%
1st pts	48/70	48/70
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	9/20	9/20
% 2nd pts	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/2	2/2
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	8/9	8
Saved %	89%	89%
Times Broken	1	1

Samrej
	Total
Score
Tot Set	0
Tot Games	0
pts	0-0
Total points	0
Winners	0
%Winners	0%
SERVE
Aces	0
Double Faults	0
1st in	0/0
% 1st in	0%
1st pts	0/0
% 1st pts	0%
2nd pts	0/0
% 2nd pts	0%
Breaks
Won	0
Converted	0/0
Converted %	0%
Conceded	0
Saved	0
Saved %	0%
Times Broken	0

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