Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini will play each other in the semifinal of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.24
Jasmine Paolini -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 7^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-2 in the semifinal in Miami back in March 2025.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini – Miami 27-March-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 Aryna reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Anastasia Potapova w/o and Elise Mertens 6-4 6-1.

In the quarter, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-4 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 64 points vs Mertens’s 42. The Belarussian was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka blasted 5 aces and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 74% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Mertens 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Sabalenka has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (398-172). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate 78-39 record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Sabalenka has a compiled 24-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stuttgart

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 6, Jasmine got to the semifinal after beating Eva Lys 6-2 6-1, Jule Niemeier 6-1 7-5 and Cori Gauff 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 6-3). During the match Paolini scored 69 points vs Gauff’s 58. Paolini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 73% of her first serves in, winning 54% (29/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Gauff 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Paolini’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Miami.

The Italian has an aggregate 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Stuttgart

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Paolini
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	6
Tot Games	17	53
Pts	64-42	197-147
Total Points	106	344
Winners	26	80
%Winners	41%	41%

Sabalenka played 1 match while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Sabalenka has played 4 set(s) less than Paolini (2 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 36 games less than Paolini. The Belarussian scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini bagged 80 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Paolini
Aces	5	1
Avg per match	5	0.3
1st in	39/53	127/187
%1st in	74%	68%
1st pts	26/39	80/127
%1st pts	67%	63%
2nd pts	11/14	31/60
%2nd pts	79%	52%

Sabalenka made 5 aces . Paolini managed to score 1 ace (0.3 per match). Sabalenka won 67% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 79% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Paolini
Won	4	16
Converted	4/8	16/26
% Converted	50%	62%
Conceded	4	14
Saved	3	7
% Saved	75%	50%
Times Broken	1	7

Aryna broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Potapova	1/4 Mertens	Total
Score	w/o	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	–	2	2
Tot Games	–	17	17
pts	–	64-42	64-42
Total points	–	106	106
Winners	–	26	26
%Winners	–	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	–	5	5
Double Faults	–	0	0
1st in	–	39/53	39/53
% 1st in	–	74%	74%
1st pts	–	26/39	26/39
% 1st pts	–	67%	67%
2nd pts	–	11/14	11/14
% 2nd pts	–	79%	79%
Breaks
Won	–	4	4
Converted	–	4/8	4/8
Converted %	–	50%	50%
Conceded	–	4	4
Saved	–	3/4	3
Saved %	–	75%	38%
Times Broken	–	1	1

Paolini
	R1 Lys	R2 Niemeier	1/4 Gauff	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-1 7-5	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	15	19	19	53
pts	63-37	65-52	69-58	197-147
Total points	100	117	127	344
Winners	21	30	29	80
%Winners	33%	46%	42%	41%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	1	1
Double Faults	3	1	0	4
1st in	29/50	44/63	54/74	127/187
% 1st in	58%	70%	73%	68%
1st pts	21/29	30/44	29/54	80/127
% 1st pts	72%	68%	54%	63%
2nd pts	11/21	8/19	12/20	31/60
% 2nd pts	52%	42%	60%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	5	5	16
Converted	6/8	5/8	5/10	16/26
Converted %	75%	63%	50%	62%
Conceded	3	4	7	14
Saved	1/3	2/4	4/7	7
Saved %	33%	50%	57%	70%
Times Broken	2	2	3	7

Tennis Scores in Stuttgart

• Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Timea Babos/Luisa StefaniBabos/Luisa Stefani (5-7 6-3 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Artem SmirnovSmirnov – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (6-4 2-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Vladyslav OrlovOrlov – Oleg DolgosheyevDolgosheyev (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (5-5) – H2H and prediction