Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jelena Ostapenko will play each other in the semifinal of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.81
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 11th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jelena Ostapenko fight against each other. The head to head is 5-5 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 6-2 6-3 in the final in Linz back in 2024.
Highlights Jelena Ostapenko vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Linz 04-February-2024
Ekaterina Alexandrova
15 - 8win/loss
22
15
LWWWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-9 | 5-7 | 6-2 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Ekaterina reached the semifinal after beating Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 6-3, Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-2 and Jessica Pegula 6-0 6-4.
In the quarter, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-0 6-4). During the match, Alexandrova scored 73 points vs Pegula’s 51. Alexandrova was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexandrova managed to score 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Ekaterina Alexandrova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (23/30) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Ekaterina broke Pegula 5 times after converting 28% of her break points (5/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ekaterina hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (308-204). 6-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alexandrova has an overall 68-57 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
Ekaterina has a compiled 15-8 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-9 | 6-8 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, the Latvian reached the semifinal after beating Dayana Yastremska 6-3 3-0 ret., Emma Navarro 7-5 3-6 6-2 and Iga Swiatek 6-3 3-6 6-2.
In the quarter, Ostapenko defeated Swiatek (6-3 3-6 6-2). During the match Ostapenko scored 86 points vs Swiatek’s 76. The Latvian was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Ostapenko fired 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 59% of her first serves in, winning 62% (28/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Swiatek 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ostapenko has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Latvian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Doha.
The Latvian has a composed 10-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 67 |
| Pts | 195-140 | 248-209 |
| Total Points | 335 | 457 |
| Winners | 74 | 90 |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% |
Both Alexandrova and Ostapenko played 3 matches. At the moment, Jelena Ostapenko lost 2 sets while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alexandrova has played 3 set(s) less than Ostapenko (6 vs 9). Therefore, Alexandrova played 16 games less than Ostapenko. Ekaterina scored 74 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Ostapenko blasted 90 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 98/150 | 132/219 |
| %1st in | 65% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 74/98 | 90/132 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 27/52 | 45/87 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 52% |
Alexandrova made 24 aces (8 per match). Ostapenko fired 14 aces (4.7 per match). Alexandrova won 76% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 15 |
| Converted | 14/38 | 15/29 |
| % Converted | 37% | 52% |
| Conceded | 12 | 25 |
| Saved | 8 | 17 |
| % Saved | 67% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Alexandrova broke her opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Latvian broke her opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. Jelena conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | |||||
| R1 Samsonova |
R2 Andreeva |
1/4 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 16 | 51 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 57-43 | 73-51 | 195-140 | |
| Total points | 111 | 100 | 124 | 335 | |
| Winners | 30 | 21 | 23 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% | 32% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 8 | 6 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 36/50 | 32/50 | 30/50 | 98/150 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 64% | 60% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 21/32 | 23/30 | 74/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 66% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 10/18 | 11/20 | 27/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 56% | 55% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/11 | 5/18 | 14/38 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 45% | 28% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 80% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Ostapenko | |||||
| R1 Yastremska |
R2 Navarro |
1/4 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-0 ret. | 7-5 3-6 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 29 | 26 | 67 | |
| pts | 53-34 | 109-99 | 86-76 | 248-209 | |
| Total points | 87 | 208 | 162 | 457 | |
| Winners | 17 | 45 | 28 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 20/29 | 67/114 | 45/76 | 132/219 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 59% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 17/20 | 45/67 | 28/45 | 90/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 67% | 62% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/9 | 21/47 | 16/31 | 45/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 89% | 45% | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 6/9 | 6/11 | 15/29 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 55% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 18 | 7 | 25 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 14/18 | 3/7 | 17 | |
| Saved % | – | 78% | 43% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWLL
WWWWLWLLLL Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Timea Babos/Luisa StefaniBabos/Luisa Stefani (5-7 6-3 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vladyslav OrlovOrlov – Oleg DolgosheyevDolgosheyev (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Artem SmirnovSmirnov – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (6-4 2-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cori GauffGauff – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (5-5) – H2H and prediction
