Emilio Nava and Mathys Erhard will square off in the semifinal of the Tallahassee Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.19
Mathys Erhard -> 4.25

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Prediction and head to head Emilio Nava vs. Mathys Erhard

This will be the 2^nd time that Emilio Nava and Mathys Erhard clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nava (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Nava won 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 1^st round in the Oeiras 3 Challenger back in 2024.

Emilio Nava

Ranked no. 140, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Christian Sigsgaard 6-4 6-4, Tung-Lin Wu 6-4 6-4 and Murphy Cassone 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, Emilio had a good straight sets win against Cassone (6-2 6-3). During the match, Nava scored 62 points vs Cassone’s 47. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nava bagged 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Emilio Nava lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nava put 58% of his first serves in, winning 63% (20/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Nava broke Cassone 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Nava has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (217-143). 30-7 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nava has a compiled99-44 record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Asuncion Challenger where he beat Thiago Moura Monteiro in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Concepcion Challenger where he overcame Nicolas Kicker in the final 6-1 7-6(3) and the Sarasota Challenger where he beat Liam Draxl in the final 6-2 7-6(2).

The American has an aggregate 30-9 win-loss record in 2025, 30-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tallahassee Challenger

Emilio has never competed in this tournament before.

Mathys Erhard

Ranked no. 281 (career-high), Mathys got to the semifinal after defeating Karl Poling 6-2 5-7 6-4, Patrick Maloney 3-6 6-0 7-5 and Mitchell Krueger 4-6 7-6(3) 7-6(3).

In the quarter against Krueger, Mathys recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6³

7-6³). During the match Erhard and Krueger scored the same amount of points (127). However, the world no. 140 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Erhard was extremely aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about serving, Erhard struck 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Mathys Erhard lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Erhard put 67% of his first serves in, winning 69% (59/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Krueger twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mathys has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The French player has a composed 11-8 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nava	Erhard
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	9
Tot Games	57	93
Pts	205-163	327-309
Total Points	368	636
Winners	77	144
%Winners	38%	44%

Both Nava and Erhard played 3 matches. At the moment, Mathys Erhard surrendered 3 sets while Emilio Nava hasn’t lost a set so far. Nava has played 3 set(s) less than Erhard (6 vs 9). Therefore, Nava played 36 games less than Erhard. The American scored 77 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Erhard struck 144 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nava	Erhard
Aces	23	26
Avg per match	7.7	8.7
1st in	103/169	205/310
%1st in	61%	66%
1st pts	77/103	144/205
%1st pts	75%	70%
2nd pts	38/66	51/105
%2nd pts	58%	49%

Nava made 23 aces (7.7 per match). Erhard bagged 26 aces (8.7 per match). Nava won 75% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Erhard won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nava	Erhard
Won	11	12
Converted	11/25	12/28
% Converted	44%	43%
Conceded	7	25
Saved	4	17
% Saved	57%	68%
Times Broken	3	8

Nava broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Mathys broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Mathys conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Nava
	R1 Sigsgaard	R2 Wu	1/4 Cassone	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-4	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	20	17	57
pts	74-60	69-56	62-47	205-163
Total points	134	125	109	368
Winners	29	28	20	77
%Winners	39%	41%	32%	38%
SERVE
Aces	12	7	4	23
Double Faults	1	2	5	8
1st in	36/55	35/59	32/55	103/169
% 1st in	65%	59%	58%	61%
1st pts	29/36	28/35	20/32	77/103
% 1st pts	81%	80%	63%	75%
2nd pts	12/19	13/24	13/23	38/66
% 2nd pts	63%	54%	57%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	3	6	11
Converted	2/8	3/9	6/8	11/25
Converted %	25%	33%	75%	44%
Conceded	0	1	6	7
Saved	0/0	0/1	4/6	4
Saved %	–	0%	67%	22%
Times Broken	0	1	2	3

Erhard
	R1 Poling	R2 Maloney	1/4 Krueger	Total
Score	6-2 5-7 6-4	3-6 6-0 7-5	4-6 7-63 7-63
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	30	27	36	93
pts	104-98	96-84	127-127	327-309
Total points	202	180	254	636
Winners	37	48	59	144
%Winners	36%	50%	46%	44%
SERVE
Aces	9	4	13	26
Double Faults	6	7	5	18
1st in	56/90	64/93	85/127	205/310
% 1st in	62%	69%	67%	66%
1st pts	37/56	48/64	59/85	144/205
% 1st pts	66%	75%	69%	70%
2nd pts	17/34	12/29	22/42	51/105
% 2nd pts	50%	41%	52%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	4	2	12
Converted	6/11	4/7	2/10	12/28
Converted %	55%	57%	20%	43%
Conceded	8	8	9	25
Saved	4/8	7/8	6/9	17
Saved %	50%	88%	67%	68%
Times Broken	4	1	3	8

Tennis Scores in Tallahassee Challenger

• James Cerretani/George GoldhoffCerretani/George Goldhoff – Mac Kiger/Tyler ZinkKiger/Tyler Zink (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrea CollariniCollarini – Chris RodeschRodesch (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emilio NavaNava – Mathys ErhardErhard (1-0) – H2H and prediction