Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Fils will square off in the semifinal of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL . In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.34
Arthur Fils -> 3.26

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Arthur Fils

This will be the 2^nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Fils fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alcaraz won 4-6 7-5 6-3 in the quarter in Monte carlo back in April 2025.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils – Monte carlo 11-April-2025

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the semifinal after defeating Ethan Quinn 6-2 7-6(6), Laslo Djere 6-2 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-3.

In the quarter, Carlos had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (7-5 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 75 points vs De Minaur’s 64. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 69% of his first serves in, winning 72% (31/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke De Minaur 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (310-80). 8-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an aggregate149-35 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0.

Alcaraz has an aggregate 23-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Arthur Fils

Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Arthur got to the semifinal after beating Pablo Carreno-Busta 7-6(6) 6-3, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-3 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 2-0 ret..

In the quarter against Tsitsipas, Fils had a free pass after Tsitsipas retired on a 2-0 . scoreline.

Fils has an overall 17-7 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Fils
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	60	41
Pts	219-168	145-105
Total Points	387	250
Winners	88	61
%Winners	40%	42%

Both Alcaraz and Fils played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Fils have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Alcaraz played 19 games more than Fils. Alcaraz scored 88 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Fils blasted 61 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Fils
Aces	4	9
Avg per match	1.3	3
1st in	124/177	81/128
%1st in	70%	63%
1st pts	88/124	61/81
%1st pts	71%	75%
2nd pts	26/53	32/47
%2nd pts	49%	68%

Alcaraz managed to score 4 aces (1.3 per match). Fils managed to score 9 aces (3 per match). Alcaraz won 71% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Fils won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Fils
Won	13	6
Converted	13/26	6/11
% Converted	50%	55%
Conceded	14	5
Saved	8	4
% Saved	57%	80%
Times Broken	6	1

Carlos broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Fils conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Quinn	R2 Djere	1/4 De Minaur	Total
Score	6-2 7-66	6-2 6-4	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	18	21	60
pts	84-65	60-39	75-64	219-168
Total points	149	99	139	387
Winners	30	27	31	88
%Winners	36%	45%	41%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	4	0	4
Double Faults	0	0	2	2
1st in	46/66	35/49	43/62	124/177
% 1st in	70%	71%	69%	70%
1st pts	30/46	27/35	31/43	88/124
% 1st pts	65%	77%	72%	71%
2nd pts	9/20	8/14	9/19	26/53
% 2nd pts	45%	57%	47%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	13
Converted	5/12	4/6	4/8	13/26
Converted %	42%	67%	50%	50%
Conceded	8	3	3	14
Saved	5/8	2/3	1/3	8
Saved %	63%	67%	33%	54%
Times Broken	3	1	2	6

Fils
	R1 Carreno-Busta	R2 Martinez Portero	1/4 Tsitsipas	Total
Score	7-66 6-3	6-3 6-2	2-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	1	5
Tot Games	22	17	2	41
pts	76-59	58-41	11-5	145-105
Total points	135	99	16	250
Winners	38	20	3	61
%Winners	50%	34%	27%	42%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	0	9
Double Faults	1	0	0	1
1st in	52/71	25/51	4/6	81/128
% 1st in	73%	49%	67%	63%
1st pts	38/52	20/25	3/4	61/81
% 1st pts	73%	80%	75%	75%
2nd pts	13/19	18/26	1/2	32/47
% 2nd pts	68%	69%	50%	68%
Breaks
Won	2	3	1	6
Converted	2/4	3/5	1/2	6/11
Converted %	50%	60%	50%	55%
Conceded	4	1	0	5
Saved	3/4	1/1	0/0	4
Saved %	75%	100%	–	58%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1

Tennis Scores in Barcelona

• Alexander Erler/Constantin FrantzenErler/Constantin Frantzen – Hugo Nys/John PeersNys/John Peers (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (1-0) – H2H and prediction