Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens will clash against each other in the quarter of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.163
Elise Mertens -> 5.2
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 11th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens face off. The head to head is 8-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-4 in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens – U.S. Open 01-September-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-4 | 23-4 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye and Anastasia Potapova w/o.
In the 2nd round, Aryna defeated Potapova (w/o). During the match, Sabalenka and Potapova scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Belarussian was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Sabalenka has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (397-172). 0-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall 77-39 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.
Aryna has a composed 23-4 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-8 | 10-6 | 3-2 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Elise got to the quarter after beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-6(3) 6-2 and Diana Shnaider 6-2 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-2 7-65). During the match Mertens scored 79 points vs Shnaider’s 66. Elise was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Mertens managed to score 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 60% of her first serves in, winning 76% (28/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Mertens broke Shnaider 4 times after converting 25% of her break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elise hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.
Mertens has a composed 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWLW
LWWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Alexandra Panova/Fanny StollarPanova/Fanny Stollar (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Timea Babos/Luisa StefaniBabos/Luisa Stefani – Jelena Ostapenko/Dayana YastremskaOstapenko/Dayana Yastremska (7-61 5-7 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Artem SmirnovSmirnov – Kristjan TammTamm (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vladyslav OrlovOrlov – Nikita MashtakovMashtakov (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Karl FribergFriberg (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (8-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (5-0) – H2H and prediction
