Mateus Alves and Dan Martin will clash against each other in the quarter of the San Luis Potosi Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mateus Alves who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mateus Alves is the pick to win this match.
Mateus Alves -> 1.24
Dan Martin -> 3.72

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Prediction and head to head Mateus Alves vs. Dan Martin

There is no head to head record between Mateus Alves and Dan Martin since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Mateus Alves

Ranked no. 329, the Brazilian reached the quarter after beating Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar 7-6(5) 6-4 and Matias Soto 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Alves had a good straight sets win against Soto (6-3 6-4). During the match, Alves scored 68 points vs Soto’s 60. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alves managed to score 8 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Mateus Alves lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Alves put 51% of his first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Mateus broke Soto 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mateus hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.

Alves has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (217-158). 8-7 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alves has a composed132-106 record in the last 8 years on clay.

Mateus has a compiled 8-8 win-loss record in 2025, 8-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the San Luis Potosi Challenger

Dan Martin

Ranked no. 740 (career-high), Martin got to the quarter after beating Benjamin Thomas George 6-2 7-6(12), Vladyslav Orlov 6-1 4-6 6-0, Felix Corwin 6-1 6-4 and Tom Paris 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Dan had a good straight sets win against Paris (7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match Martin scored 74 points vs Paris’s 66. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Martin struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Dan Martin lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Martin put 56% of his first serves in, winning 81% (30/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Dan broke Paris 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Dan has a compiled 15-10 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alves	Martin
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	4	9
Tot Games	42	82
Pts	149-130	298-241
Total Points	279	539
Winners	61	113
%Winners	41%	38%

Alves played 2 matches while Martin competed in 4 matches. Martin started his run from the qualifications while Alves had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Dan Martin surrendered 1 set while Mateus Alves hasn’t lost a set so far. Alves has played 5 set(s) less than Martin (4 vs 9). Therefore, Alves played 40 games less than Martin. Mateus scored 61 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Martin fired 113 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alves	Martin
Aces	10	12
Avg per match	5	3
1st in	79/145	157/279
%1st in	54%	56%
1st pts	61/79	113/157
%1st pts	77%	72%
2nd pts	34/66	62/122
%2nd pts	52%	51%

Alves made 10 aces (5 per match). Martin managed to score 12 aces (3 per match). Alves won 77% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Martin won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alves	Martin
Won	6	20
Converted	6/16	20/38
% Converted	38%	53%
Conceded	10	26
Saved	7	17
% Saved	70%	65%
Times Broken	3	9

Mateus broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Brazilian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Dan broke his opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. Dan conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Alves
	R1 Carlos Manuel Aguilar	R2 Soto	Total
Score	7-65 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	23	19	42
pts	81-70	68-60	149-130
Total points	151	128	279
Winners	29	32	61
%Winners	36%	47%	41%
SERVE
Aces	2	8	10
Double Faults	0	10	10
1st in	39/67	40/78	79/145
% 1st in	58%	51%	54%
1st pts	29/39	32/40	61/79
% 1st pts	74%	80%	77%
2nd pts	16/28	18/38	34/66
% 2nd pts	57%	47%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/11	3/5	6/16
Converted %	27%	60%	38%
Conceded	3	7	10
Saved	1/3	6/7	7
Saved %	33%	86%	60%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Martin
	Q1 Thomas	Q3 Orlov	R1 Corwin	R2 Paris	Total
Score	6-2 7-612	6-1 4-6 6-0	6-1 6-4	7-65 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	21	23	17	21	82
pts	81-67	78-59	65-49	74-66	298-241
Total points	148	137	114	140	539
Winners	26	28	29	30	113
%Winners	32%	36%	45%	41%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	4	2	12
Double Faults	5	3	1	2	11
1st in	41/71	38/77	41/65	37/66	157/279
% 1st in	58%	49%	63%	56%	56%
1st pts	26/41	28/38	29/41	30/37	113/157
% 1st pts	63%	74%	71%	81%	72%
2nd pts	15/30	21/39	13/24	13/29	62/122
% 2nd pts	50%	54%	54%	45%	51%
Breaks
Won	6	6	4	4	20
Converted	6/12	6/8	4/6	4/12	20/38
Converted %	50%	75%	67%	33%	53%
Conceded	10	7	5	4	26
Saved	6/10	5/7	4/5	2/4	17
Saved %	60%	71%	80%	50%	131%
Times Broken	4	2	1	2	9

Tennis Scores in San Luis Potosi Challenger

• Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos (6-3 3-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• James DuckworthDuckworth – Alfredo PerezPerez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dan MartinMartin – Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso (0-0) – H2H and prediction