Casper Ruud and Holger Rune will square off in the quarter of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL . In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.58
Holger Rune -> 2.38

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 8^th time that Casper Ruud and Holger Rune clash against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Ruud won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in Acapulco back in 2024.

Casper Ruud

Ranked no. 10, Casper reached the quarter after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 6-3 and Hamad Medjedovic 7-5 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Medjedovic (7-5 7-5). During the match, Ruud scored 94 points vs Medjedovic’s 88. Ruud was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ruud scored 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 59% of his first serves in, winning 62% (34/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the 2nd serve. Casper broke Medjedovic 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Casper hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (406-216). 3-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has a composed 233-101 match record in the last years on clay.

Ruud’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Dallas.

The Norwegian has a compiled 15-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 13, the Dane reached the quarter after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 7-5 6-4 and Sebastian Baez 4-6 6-1 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Baez, The Dane recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Rune scored 81 points vs Baez’s 72. Rune was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Rune scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 66% of his first serves in, winning 62% (33/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Baez 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rune has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Rune’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Indian Wells.

Holger has a composed 13-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ruud	Rune
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	43	47
Pts	158-138	157-135
Total Points	296	292
Winners	55	67
%Winners	35%	43%

Both Ruud and Rune played 2 matches. At the moment, Holger Rune surrendered 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Rune (4 vs 5). Therefore, Ruud played 4 games less than Rune. The Norwegian scored 55 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane struck 67 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ruud	Rune
Aces	6	5
Avg per match	3	2.5
1st in	82/145	100/151
%1st in	57%	66%
1st pts	55/82	67/100
%1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	40/63	28/51
%2nd pts	63%	55%

Ruud managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). Rune bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Ruud won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ruud	Rune
Won	6	9
Converted	6/17	9/18
% Converted	35%	50%
Conceded	11	14
Saved	9	10
% Saved	82%	71%
Times Broken	2	4

Ruud broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Casper lost his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Rune broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
	R1 Elahi Galan Riveros	R2 Medjedovic	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	7-5 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	24	43
pts	64-50	94-88	158-138
Total points	114	182	296
Winners	21	34	55
%Winners	33%	36%	35%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	6
Double Faults	4	5	9
1st in	27/52	55/93	82/145
% 1st in	52%	59%	57%
1st pts	21/27	34/55	55/82
% 1st pts	78%	62%	67%
2nd pts	19/25	21/38	40/63
% 2nd pts	76%	55%	63%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/7	4/10	6/17
Converted %	29%	40%	35%
Conceded	0	11	11
Saved	0/0	9/11	9
Saved %	–	82%	41%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Rune
	R1 Ramos-Vinolas	R2 Baez	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	4-6 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	22	25	47
pts	76-63	81-72	157-135
Total points	139	153	292
Winners	34	33	67
%Winners	45%	41%	43%
SERVE
Aces	4	1	5
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	47/71	53/80	100/151
% 1st in	66%	66%	66%
1st pts	34/47	33/53	67/100
% 1st pts	72%	62%	67%
2nd pts	14/24	14/27	28/51
% 2nd pts	58%	52%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	6	9
Converted	3/7	6/11	9/18
Converted %	43%	55%	50%
Conceded	4	10	14
Saved	3/4	7/10	10
Saved %	75%	70%	73%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Tennis Scores in Barcelona

• Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Casper RuudRuud (1-6) – H2H and prediction