Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the quarter of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL . In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.21
Alex De Minaur -> 4.4

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 4^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the final in Rotterdam back in February 2025.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur – Rotterdam 09-February-2025

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, Carlos reached the quarter after defeating Ethan Quinn 6-2 7-6(6) and Laslo Djere 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Djere (6-2 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 60 points vs Djere’s 39. Carlos was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz struck 4 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Djere 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (309-80). 7-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an overall148-35 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0.

Carlos has an overall 22-4 win-loss record in 2025, 7-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 7, the Australian reached the quarter after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-4 6-4

and Jacob Fearnley 6-1 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Fearnley (6-1 6-2). During the match De Minaur scored 54 points vs Fearnley’s 33. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, De Minaur scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex De Minaur was exceptionally effective on serve to win 87% (20/23) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Fearnley 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Alex’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Rotterdam.

The Australian has an overall 22-7 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Barcelona

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	De Minaur
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	39	35
Pts	144-104	108-81
Total Points	248	189
Winners	57	53
%Winners	40%	49%

Both Alcaraz and De Minaur played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Alcaraz played 4 games more than De Minaur. The Spaniard scored 57 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alex struck 53 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	De Minaur
Aces	4	6
Avg per match	2	3
1st in	81/115	63/97
%1st in	70%	65%
1st pts	57/81	53/63
%1st pts	70%	84%
2nd pts	17/34	20/34
%2nd pts	50%	59%

Alcaraz scored 4 aces (2 per match). De Minaur bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	De Minaur
Won	9	6
Converted	9/18	6/9
% Converted	50%	67%
Conceded	11	2
Saved	7	2
% Saved	64%	100%
Times Broken	4	0

Alcaraz broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. De Minaur was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Alcaraz
	R1 Quinn	R2 Djere	Total
Score	6-2 7-66	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	21	18	39
pts	84-65	60-39	144-104
Total points	149	99	248
Winners	30	27	57
%Winners	36%	45%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	4	4
Double Faults	0	0	0
1st in	46/66	35/49	81/115
% 1st in	70%	71%	70%
1st pts	30/46	27/35	57/81
% 1st pts	65%	77%	70%
2nd pts	9/20	8/14	17/34
% 2nd pts	45%	57%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/12	4/6	9/18
Converted %	42%	67%	50%
Conceded	8	3	11
Saved	5/8	2/3	7
Saved %	63%	67%	65%
Times Broken	3	1	4

De Minaur
	R1 Etcheverry	R2 Fearnley	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	20	15	35
pts	54-48	54-33	108-81
Total points	102	87	189
Winners	33	20	53
%Winners	61%	37%	49%
SERVE
Aces	4	2	6
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	40/52	23/45	63/97
% 1st in	77%	51%	65%
1st pts	33/40	20/23	53/63
% 1st pts	83%	87%	84%
2nd pts	7/12	13/22	20/34
% 2nd pts	58%	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/2	4/7	6/9
Converted %	100%	57%	67%
Conceded	0	2	2
Saved	0/0	2/2	2
Saved %	–	100%	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Barcelona

• Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Casper RuudRuud (1-6) – H2H and prediction