Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova will face off in the quarter of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.61
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-2 2-6 7-5 in the semifinal in Charleston back in April 2025.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Charleston 05-April-2025
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-7 | 20-6 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye and Magdalena Frech 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Frech (6-1 6-1). During the match, Pegula scored 54 points vs Frech’s 24. Pegula was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula was extremely effective on serve to win 87% (20/23) of her 1st serve and 75% (9/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pegula was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Frech 5 times.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (330-163). 6-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has an aggregate 69-42 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.
The American has an aggregate 26-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Jessica has never competed in this tournament before.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
14 - 8win/loss
22
15
LWWWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-9 | 5-7 | 6-2 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Alexandrova got to the quarter after beating Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 6-3 and Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Andreeva (6-3 6-2). During the match Alexandrova scored 57 points vs Andreeva’s 43. Ekaterina was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Alexandrova struck 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 64% of her first serves in, winning 66% (21/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Ekaterina broke Andreeva 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ekaterina hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Linz where she beat Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
Ekaterina has an overall 14-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 35 |
| Pts | 54-24 | 122-89 |
| Total Points | 78 | 211 |
| Winners | 20 | 51 |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% |
Pegula played 1 match while Alexandrova competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Pegula has played 2 set(s) less than Alexandrova (2 vs 4). Therefore, Pegula played 21 games less than Alexandrova. Pegula scored 20 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina fired 51 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 9 |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 68/100 |
| %1st in | 66% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 20/23 | 51/68 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 9/12 | 16/32 |
| %2nd pts | 75% | 50% |
Pegula scored 1 ace . Alexandrova also made 18 aces (9 per match). Pegula won 87% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/5 | 9/20 |
| % Converted | 100% | 45% |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Jessica broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American quite strong on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Russian broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Frech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 54-24 | 54-24 | |
| Total points | 78 | 78 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 23/35 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 20/23 | 20/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/12 | 9/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 5/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Alexandrova | ||||
| R1 Samsonova |
R2 Andreeva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 35 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 57-43 | 122-89 | |
| Total points | 111 | 100 | 211 | |
| Winners | 30 | 21 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 8 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/50 | 32/50 | 68/100 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 64% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 21/32 | 51/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 66% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 10/18 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/11 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 108% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
LWWWLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Timea Babos/Luisa StefaniBabos/Luisa Stefani – Jelena Ostapenko/Dayana YastremskaOstapenko/Dayana Yastremska (7-61 5-7 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Artem SmirnovSmirnov – Kristjan TammTamm (6-0 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vladyslav OrlovOrlov – Nikita MashtakovMashtakov (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Karl FribergFriberg (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (8-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-2) – H2H and prediction
