Alex De Minaur and Jacob Fearnley will square off in the 2nd round of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL . In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.131
Jacob Fearnley -> 5.9
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jacob Fearnley
There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-9 | 12-5 | 7-3 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Australian got to the 2nd round after defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (6-4 6-4). During the match, De Minaur scored 54 points vs Etcheverry’s 48. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (33/40) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. De Minaur was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Etcheverry twice.
De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (380-212). 4-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a compiled 63-49 record in the last years on clay.
De Minaur’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Rotterdam.
The Australian has a composed 21-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Jacob Fearnley
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, Fearnley got to the 2nd round after beating Leo Borg 7-5 7-6(1), Daniel Elahi Galan 7-5 6-4 and Roberto Carballes Baena 6-1 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-1 7-5). During the match Fearnley scored 79 points vs Carballes Baena’s 61. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Fearnley struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 58% of his first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Carballes Baena 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Fearnley’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Jacob has an aggregate 14-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 44 |
| Pts | 54-48 | 170-139 |
| Total Points | 102 | 309 |
| Winners | 33 | 56 |
| %Winners | 61% | 33% |
De Minaur played 1 match while Fearnley competed in 2 matches. Fearnley started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. De Minaur has played 2 set(s) less than Fearnley (2 vs 4). Therefore, De Minaur played 24 games less than Fearnley. De Minaur scored 33 winners (61% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit fired 56 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 40/52 | 80/141 |
| %1st in | 77% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 33/40 | 56/80 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 34/61 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 56% |
De Minaur fired 4 aces . Fearnley struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). De Minaur won 83% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/2 | 9/30 |
| % Converted | 100% | 30% |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Australian broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Alex extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Fearnley broke his opponents 9 times with a 30% conversion rate. Jacob conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 54-48 | 54-48 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 61% | 61% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/52 | 40/52 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 33/40 | 33/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Fearnley | |||||
| Q1 Borg |
Q3 Elahi Galan Riveros |
R1 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-61 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 22 | 19 | 66 | |
| pts | 91-78 | – | 79-61 | 170-139 | |
| Total points | 169 | 0 | 140 | 309 | |
| Winners | 30 | 26 | 56 | ||
| %Winners | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 40/72 | / | 40/69 | 80/141 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 0% | 58% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | / | 26/40 | 56/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 0% | 65% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/32 | / | 15/29 | 34/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 0% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | ||
| Converted | 3/14 | / | 6/16 | 9/30 | |
| Converted % | 21% | 0% | 38% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | ||
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/ | 7/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 78% | 111% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWW
LWWWWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Barcelona
- Casper RuudRuud – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur FilsFils – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Sebastian BaezBaez (4-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Andrey RublevRublev (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Laslo DjereDjere (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Casper RuudRuud (1-6) – H2H and prediction
