Michael Geerts and Luca Potenza will square off in the 2^nd round of the Abidjan 1 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on CENTRAL KAYDAN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michael Geerts who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Michael Geerts is the pick to win this match.
Michael Geerts -> 1.43
Luca Potenza -> 2.66

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Prediction and head to head Michael Geerts vs. Luca Potenza

This will be the 2^nd time that Michael Geerts and Luca Potenza clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Geerts (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Geerts won 6-2 7-5 in the qualifications in the Forli 2 Challenger back in 2021.

Michael Geerts

Ranked no. 290, Michael reached the 2^nd round after beating Adil Kalyanpur 6-1 6-3.

In the 1^st round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Kalyanpur (6-1 6-3). During the match, Geerts scored 54 points vs Kalyanpur’s 34. The Belgian was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Regarding the service games, Geerts bagged 2 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Michael Geerts was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (17/23) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Belgian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kalyanpur 5 times.

Geerts has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (298-231). 10-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Geerts has a composed 117-76 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Michael’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Loule.

Geerts has an aggregate 15-12 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Abidjan 1 Challenger

The Belgian has never competed in this tournament before.

Luca Potenza

Ranked no. 570, Luca reached the 2^nd round after beating Yanki Erel 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Erel, Potenza recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7³ 6-3 6-4). During the match Potenza scored 96 points vs Erel’s 90. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Potenza recorded 8 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Luca Potenza was quite effective on serve to win 71% (47/66) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Luca broke Erel 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Potenza’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.

Luca has an overall 23-8 win-loss record in 2025, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Geerts	Potenza
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	16	32
Pts	54-34	96-90
Total Points	88	186
Winners	17	47
%Winners	31%	49%

Both Geerts and Potenza played 1 match. At the moment, Luca Potenza dropped 1 set while Michael Geerts hasn’t conceded a set so far. Geerts has played 1 set(s) less than Potenza (2 vs 3). Therefore, Geerts played 16 games less than Potenza. The Belgian scored 17 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 47 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Geerts	Potenza
Aces	2	8
Avg per match	2	8
1st in	23/42	66/95
%1st in	55%	69%
1st pts	17/23	47/66
%1st pts	74%	71%
2nd pts	13/19	18/29
%2nd pts	68%	62%

Geerts scored 2 aces . Potenza fired 8 aces . Geerts won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Geerts	Potenza
Won	5	4
Converted	5/5	4/10
% Converted	100%	40%
Conceded	1	5
Saved	0	3
% Saved	0%	60%
Times Broken	1	2

The Belgian broke his opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Potenza broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Potenza conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Geerts
	R1 Kalyanpur	Total
Score	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	54-34	54-34
Total points	88	88
Winners	17	17
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	23/42	23/42
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	17/23	17/23
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	13/19	13/19
% 2nd pts	68%	68%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/5	5/5
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Potenza
	R1 Erel	Total
Score	6-73 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	96-90	96-90
Total points	186	186
Winners	47	47
%Winners	49%	49%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	66/95	66/95
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	47/66	47/66
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	18/29	18/29
% 2nd pts	62%	62%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Abidjan 1 Challenger

• Clement ChidekhChidekh – Dominik PalanPalan (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Maximus JonesJones – Kris Van WykVan Wyk (7-5 2-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Robin BertrandBertrand – Tommaso CompagnucciCompagnucci (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Aziz DougazDougaz – Toby SamuelSamuel (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Philip HenningHenning – Lucas PoullainPoullain (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Ergi KirkinKirkin – Aziz OuakaaOuakaa (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Luca PotenzaPotenza – Yanki ErelErel (6-7³ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Michael GeertsGeerts – Adil KalyanpurKalyanpur (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – Moez EcharguiEchargui (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Tibo ColsonColson – Abdoulaziz BationoBationo (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Kirill KivattsevKivattsev (1-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Ricardas BerankisBerankis – Aryan ShahShah (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Aziz DougazDougaz – Toby SamuelSamuel (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Philip HenningHenning – Lucas PoullainPoullain (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
• Clement ChidekhChidekh – Dominik PalanPalan (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Maximus JonesJones – Kris Van WykVan Wyk (7-5 2-6 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Luca PotenzaPotenza – Yanki ErelErel (6-7(3) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Michael GeertsGeerts – Adil KalyanpurKalyanpur (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Ergi KirkinKirkin – Aziz OuakaaOuakaa (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – Moez EcharguiEchargui (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Robin BertrandBertrand – Tommaso CompagnucciCompagnucci (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Richard BerankisBerankis – Aleksandre BakshiBakshi (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Benoit PairePaire – Daniil GlinkaGlinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ergi KirkinKirkin – Tibo ColsonColson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taha BaadiBaadi – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Florent BaxBax – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Luca PotenzaPotenza – Michael GeertsGeerts (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Clement ChidekhChidekh – (0-0) – H2H and prediction