August Holmgren and Guy Den Ouden will square off in the qualifications of the Oeiras 4 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 8. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Guy Den Ouden who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Guy Den Ouden is the pick to win this match.
Guy Den Ouden -> 1.65
August Holmgren -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head August Holmgren vs. Guy Den Ouden
This will be the 2nd time that August Holmgren and Guy Den Ouden play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Den (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Den won 5-7 7-6(3) 7-6(3) in the qualifications in the Tenerife 1 Challenger back in 2024.
August Holmgren
5 - 7win/loss
186
163
LWLWLWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-25 | 24-12 | 6-6 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 33-14 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-12 | 18-4 | 10-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 203, August got to the qualifications after defeating Alexander Donski 6-4 7-6(8).
In the qualifications, Holmgren had a good straight sets win against Donski (6-4 7-68). During the match, Holmgren scored 69 points vs Donski’s 66. The Dane was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Holmgren managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. August Holmgren lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the 2nd serve. Holmgren was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Donski twice.
Holmgren has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (177-98). 2-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Holmgren has a compiled53-28 record in the last 9 years on clay.
August has an aggregate 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 4 Challenger
Guy Den Ouden
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-8 | 0-0 | 22-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-24 | 3-7 | 28-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-19 | 35-9 | 24-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-12 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-13 | 16-5 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 257, the Dutch reached the qualifications after beating Diogo Marques 6-1 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Marques (6-1 6-1). During the match Den scored 54 points vs Marques’s 27. Guy was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Den made 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Guy Den Ouden was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (21/24) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dutch broke Marques 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Den’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya,the Kigali 2 Challenger and M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.
Den has a compiled 21-7 win-loss record in 2025, 20-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 4 Challenger
Den has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Holmgren | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 14 |
| Pts | 69-66 | 54-27 |
| Total Points | 135 | 81 |
| Winners | 34 | 21 |
| %Winners | 49% | 39% |
Both Holmgren and Den played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Holmgren and Den have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Holmgren played 9 games more than Den. The Dane scored 34 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Guy made 21 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Holmgren | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 49/72 | 24/37 |
| %1st in | 68% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 21/24 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 8/13 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 62% |
Holmgren fired 4 aces . Den bagged 2 aces . Holmgren won 69% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Den won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Holmgren | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/2 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 100% | 42% |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Dane broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Holmgren lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Guy broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Den was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Holmgren | |||
| Q1 Donski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 69-66 | 69-66 | |
| Total points | 135 | 135 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 49/72 | 49/72 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 34/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Den | |||
| Q1 Marques |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 54-27 | 54-27 | |
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 24/37 | 24/37 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 21/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 8/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWLLLL
LWWWLWWWWL 
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