Emilio Nava and Liam Draxl will fight against each other in the final of the Sarasota Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on NICK BOLLETTIERI COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.32
Liam Draxl -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Emilio Nava vs. Liam Draxl
There is no head to head record between Emilio Nava and Liam Draxl since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Emilio Nava
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-9 | 0-2 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-34 | 16-15 | 8-9 | 8-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-31 | 24-14 | 12-8 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-27 | 15-15 | 14-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-16 | 9-6 | 27-7 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, Emilio reached the final after defeating Chris Rodesch 6-4 6-4, Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-3 6-2, Tomas Barrios Vera 7-5 7-6(3) and Eliot Spizzirri 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the semifinal, Emilio had a good straight sets win against Spizzirri (7-66 6-4). During the match, Nava scored 70 points vs Spizzirri’s 68. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nava managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Emilio Nava was very efficient on serve to win 73% (32/44) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Emilio broke Spizzirri twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Nava has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (213-143). 26-7 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nava has an overall95-44 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Asuncion Challenger where he defeated Thiago Moura Monteiro in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Concepcion Challenger where he beat Nicolas Kicker in the final 6-1 7-6(3).
The American has a composed 26-9 win-loss record in 2025, 26-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
Emilio has never competed in this tournament before.
Liam Draxl
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-11 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-24 | 21-10 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 176, Draxl reached the final after defeating Gonzalo Bueno 7-5 6-4, Patrick Maloney 4-6 6-4 6-0, Andres Andrade 7-5 7-6(4) and Federico Agustin Gomez 3-6 6-4 6-0.
In the semifinal against Agustin Gomez, The Canadian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-0). During the match Draxl scored 84 points vs Agustin Gomez’s 72. Liam was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Draxl was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Liam Draxl lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 70% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (7/23) on the 2nd serve. Draxl broke Agustin Gomez 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draxl has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Draxl’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger and the Oeiras 3 Challenger.
Liam has an aggregate 20-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nava | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 98 |
| Pts | 286-241 | 344-287 |
| Total Points | 527 | 631 |
| Winners | 121 | 133 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Nava and Draxl played 4 matches. At the moment, Liam Draxl lost 2 sets while Emilio Nava hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nava has played 2 set(s) less than Draxl (8 vs 10). Therefore, Nava played 13 games less than Draxl. Emilio scored 121 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian managed to score 133 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nava | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 161/249 | 196/300 |
| %1st in | 65% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 121/161 | 133/196 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 48/88 | 50/104 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 48% |
Nava made 24 aces (6 per match). Draxl fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Nava won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Draxl won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nava | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 23 |
| Converted | 13/31 | 23/48 |
| % Converted | 42% | 48% |
| Conceded | 14 | 39 |
| Saved | 8 | 25 |
| % Saved | 57% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 14 |
The American broke his opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Draxl broke his opponents 23 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nava | ||||||
| R1 Rodesch |
R2 Adrian |
1/4 Tomas Barrios Vera |
1/2 Spizzirri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 7-63 | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 25 | 23 | 85 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 61-43 | 90-78 | 70-68 | 286-241 | |
| Total points | 117 | 104 | 168 | 138 | 527 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 35 | 32 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% | 39% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 38/52 | 46/76 | 44/64 | 161/249 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 73% | 61% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 28/38 | 35/46 | 32/44 | 121/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 74% | 76% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 7/14 | 14/30 | 13/20 | 48/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 50% | 47% | 65% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/11 | 4/13 | 2/3 | 13/31 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 36% | 31% | 67% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 4/7 | 3/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 57% | 75% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Draxl | ||||||
| R1 Bueno |
R2 Maloney |
1/4 Andrade |
1/2 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 6-0 | 7-5 7-64 | 3-6 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 98 | |
| pts | 86-70 | 85-65 | 89-80 | 84-72 | 344-287 | |
| Total points | 156 | 150 | 169 | 156 | 631 | |
| Winners | 28 | 32 | 36 | 37 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 38% | 40% | 44% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 50/67 | 44/76 | 48/80 | 54/77 | 196/300 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 58% | 60% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 28/50 | 32/44 | 36/48 | 37/54 | 133/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 73% | 75% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 17/32 | 16/32 | 7/23 | 50/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 53% | 50% | 30% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | |
| Converted | 7/19 | 6/11 | 3/6 | 7/12 | 23/48 | |
| Converted % | 37% | 55% | 50% | 58% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 39 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 8/11 | 5/7 | 6/10 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 73% | 71% | 60% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWLWWWWLWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emilio NavaNava – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
