Kamil Majchrzak and Marin Cilic will fight against each other in the final of the Madrid Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:30 pm on PISTA CENTRAL C.MADRID. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kamil Majchrzak who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Kamil Majchrzak is the pick to win this match.
Kamil Majchrzak -> 1.83
Marin Cilic -> 1.89

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Prediction and head to head Kamil Majchrzak vs. Marin Cilic

There is no head to head record between Kamil Majchrzak and Marin Cilic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Kamil Majchrzak

Ranked no. 102, Kamil reached the final after defeating Hugo Dellien 7-6(1) 6-1, Carlos Taberner 6-4 6-4, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-7(10) 6-4 6-1 and Norbert Gombos 7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(1).

In the semifinal, Kamil defeated Gombos (7-6² 3-6 7-6¹). During the match, Majchrzak scored 116 points vs Gombos’s 115. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about the service games, Majchrzak struck 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Kamil Majchrzak lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Majchrzak put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (57/84) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. Kamil broke Gombos 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Majchrzak has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Majchrzak has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (340-189). 9-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Majchrzak has an aggregate 170-88 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Majchrzak’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the San Diego Challenger, Marrakech and the Madrid Challenger.

The Pole has an overall 19-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Madrid Challenger

The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.

Marin Cilic

Ranked no. 117, Marin got to the final after beating Ignacio Buse 6-3 7-5, Marco Trungelliti 6-2 4-6 6-1, Vilius Gaubas 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(4) and Valentin Royer 3-6 7-5 7-6(7).

In the semifinal against Royer, The Croatian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-6⁷

). During the match Cilic scored 102 points vs Royer’s 101. The Croatian was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Cilic scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Marin Cilic was extremely effective on serve to win 84% (47/56) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Croatian broke Royer 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cilic has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Girona Challenger where he defeated Elmer Moller in the final 6-3 6-4.

Marin has an aggregate 11-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Majchrzak	Cilic
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	11
Tot Games	105	116
Pts	369-317	395-350
Total Points	686	745
Winners	153	164
%Winners	41%	42%

Both Majchrzak and Cilic played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Kamil Majchrzak dropped 2 sets, while Marin Cilic conceded 3 sets. Majchrzak has played 1 set(s) less than Cilic (10 vs 11). Therefore, Majchrzak played 11 games less than Cilic. Kamil scored 153 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Cilic recorded 164 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Majchrzak	Cilic
Aces	29	39
Avg per match	7.3	9.8
1st in	217/340	201/341
%1st in	64%	59%
1st pts	153/217	164/201
%1st pts	71%	82%
2nd pts	72/123	77/140
%2nd pts	59%	55%

Majchrzak made 29 aces (7.3 per match). Cilic managed to score 39 aces (9.8 per match). Majchrzak won 71% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Cilic won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Majchrzak	Cilic
Won	16	13
Converted	16/26	13/41
% Converted	62%	32%
Conceded	21	20
Saved	13	13
% Saved	62%	65%
Times Broken	8	7

Kamil broke his opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. Kamil surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Marin broke his opponents 13 times with a 32% conversion rate. Cilic conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Majchrzak
	R1 Dellien	R2 Taberner	1/4 Carreno-Busta	1/2 Gombos	Total
Score	7-61 6-1	6-4 6-4	6-710 6-4 6-1	7-62 3-6 7-61
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	20	20	30	35	105
pts	70-48	70-59	113-95	116-115	369-317
Total points	118	129	208	231	686
Winners	20	27	49	57	153
%Winners	29%	39%	43%	49%	41%
SERVE
Aces	6	5	7	11	29
Double Faults	1	1	2	2	6
1st in	30/57	41/68	62/94	84/121	217/340
% 1st in	53%	60%	66%	69%	64%
1st pts	20/30	27/41	49/62	57/84	153/217
% 1st pts	67%	66%	79%	68%	71%
2nd pts	20/27	15/27	17/32	20/37	72/123
% 2nd pts	74%	56%	53%	54%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	3	16
Converted	4/5	4/4	5/11	3/6	16/26
Converted %	80%	100%	45%	50%	62%
Conceded	4	4	4	9	21
Saved	3/4	2/4	3/4	5/9	13
Saved %	75%	50%	75%	56%	64%
Times Broken	1	2	1	4	8

Cilic
	R1 Buse	R2 Trungelliti	1/4 Gaubas	1/2 Royer	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	6-2 4-6 6-1	6-76 6-4 7-64	3-6 7-5 7-67
Tot Set	2	3	3	3	11
Tot Games	21	25	36	34	116
pts	76-65	91-72	126-112	102-101	395-350
Total points	141	163	238	203	745
Winners	28	31	58	47	164
%Winners	37%	34%	46%	46%	42%
SERVE
Aces	11	8	12	8	39
Double Faults	7	1	1	1	10
1st in	32/67	42/77	71/108	56/89	201/341
% 1st in	48%	55%	66%	63%	59%
1st pts	28/32	31/42	58/71	47/56	164/201
% 1st pts	88%	74%	82%	84%	82%
2nd pts	15/35	23/35	21/37	18/33	77/140
% 2nd pts	43%	66%	57%	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	4	2	3	13
Converted	4/13	4/13	2/10	3/5	13/41
Converted %	31%	31%	20%	60%	32%
Conceded	5	5	6	4	20
Saved	3/5	4/5	5/6	1/4	13
Saved %	60%	80%	83%	25%	62%
Times Broken	2	1	1	3	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marin CilicCilic – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction