Alexander Bublik and Diego Dedura-Palomero will square off in the qualifications of the BMW Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.065
Diego Dedura-Palomero -> 7.3
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Diego Dedura-Palomero
There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Diego Dedura-Palomero since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alexander Bublik
8 - 11win/loss
34
17
LWWWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-17 | 5-7 | 15-6 | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 76, the Kazakhstani reached the qualifications after beating Alexander Ritschard 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Ritschard (6-2 6-3). During the match, Bublik scored 63 points vs Ritschard’s 46. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bublik made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Bublik was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bublik broke Ritschard 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Bublik has good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (329-253). 1-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bublik has a compiled 42-53 match record in the last years on clay.
Alexander’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Phoenix Challenger.
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 8-11 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Munich
Diego Dedura-Palomero
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 546 (career-high), Diego got to the qualifications after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Dedura-Palomero had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-3 6-1). During the match Dedura-Palomero scored 57 points vs Mcdonald’s 33. Dedura-Palomero was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Dedura-Palomero scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Diego Dedura-Palomero was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Diego broke Mcdonald 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Dedura-Palomero has a composed 8-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 |
| Pts | 63-46 | 57-33 |
| Total Points | 109 | 90 |
| Winners | 26 | 25 |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Bublik and Dedura-Palomero played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bublik and Dedura-Palomero have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bublik played 1 game more than Dedura-Palomero. Alexander scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Dedura-Palomero struck 25 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 33/45 |
| %1st in | 61% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 25/33 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 7/12 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 58% |
Bublik made 5 aces . Dedura-Palomero recorded 1 ace . Bublik won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Dedura-Palomero won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 38% | 83% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Bublik broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Diego broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||
| Q1 Ritschard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 63-46 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 33/54 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 26/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 13/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Dedura-Palomero | |||
| Q1 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-33 | 57-33 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/45 | 33/45 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 25/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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