[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Davidovich Fokina, De Minaur to win the Monte-Carlo

Monte-Carlo draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to oust Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Alex De Minaur to conquer the event in the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Monte-Carlo. Carlos has defeated Francisco Cerundolo 3-6 6-0 6-1, Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-1 and Arthur Fils 4-6 7-5 6-3 to reach the semifinal where he will face Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw together withhisplausible opposition in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters. Carlos has a positive record (4-0) with the plausible opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Francisco Cerundolo (22) – 3-6 6-0 6-1
R3 – Daniel Altmaier (84) – 6-3 6-1
1/4 – Arthur Fils (15) – 4-6 7-5 6-3
1/2 – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (42) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Alex De Minaur (10) – H2H 3-0
or Lorenzo Musetti (16) – H2H 4-1
Alcaraz
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Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

20 - 10win/loss in 2025

Rank
29
High
21
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-10 13-7 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 20-22 13-12 2-5 5-4 0-1 0-0
2023 32-28 18-11 9-8 3-6 2-3 0-0
2022 21-26 7-9 11-8 0-6 3-3 0-0
2021 30-25 4-6 16-7 9-10 1-2 0-0
2020 19-13 5-5 5-5 9-3 0-0 0-0
2019 49-28 19-8 27-14 0-3 3-3 0-0
2018 45-25 19-7 23-13 0-1 1-1 2-3

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 18-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on clay. Regarding the previous 10 years, the Spaniard has a 110-70 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Alejandro won 7 of his last 10 matches.

The Spaniard’s best achievement of the year was getting to the final Delray Beach and Acapulco.

Last year in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters Alejandro surrendered to Sebastian Korda in the 1st round 6-1 6-2.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

This contest would be 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Final – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

22 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
6
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-8 12-5 5-2 5-1 0-0 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 20-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay. During the last 11 years, Alex has a 68-51 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Australian won 7 of his last 10 matches.

De Minaur’s most significant result of this season was getting to the final Rotterdam.

Last year in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters the Australian capitulated to Novak Djokovic in the quarter 7-5 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur

This contest would be 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Carlos Alcaraz may come up against Lorenzo Musetti. Their head to head record is 4-1 for Carlos Alcaraz.