[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Alex De Minaur’s draw vs Musetti, Alcaraz to win the Monte-Carlo

Monte-Carlo draw preview with H2H - Alex De Minaur may need to defeat Lorenzo Musetti, Carlos Alcaraz to conquer the competition in the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters.

Alex De Minaur Stats info

Alex De Minaur is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Monte-Carlo. De Minaur has defeated Tomas Machac 3-6 6-0 6-3, Daniil Medvedev 6-2 6-2 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-0 6-0 to reach the semifinal where he will face Lorenzo Musetti.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Alex De Minaur’s projected draw alongsidehisplausible opponents in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters. The Australian has a unfavourable record (1-4) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Tomas Machac (21) – 3-6 6-0 6-3
R3 – Daniil Medvedev (11) – 6-2 6-2
1/4 – Grigor Dimitrov (18) – 6-0 6-0
1/2 – Lorenzo Musetti (16) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 0-3
or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (42) – H2H 2-3
De Minaur
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

18 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
9
High
9
WWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-6 6-4 12-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
2019 32-25 1-2 27-19 4-4 0-0 0-0
2018 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Lorenzo Musetti has a 11-4 record in 2025, 5-0 on clay. During the previous 8 years, Lorenzo has a 124-66 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

Last year in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters Lorenzo was defeated by Novak Djokovic in the 3rd round 7-5 6-3.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This would be the 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for De Minaur and Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

26 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
WWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-5 10-4 11-1 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 18-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay. As for the previous 8 years, Alcaraz has a 144-35 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of the year was conquering the tournament in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters Carlos didn’t play in this event.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This match would represent the 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Alex De Minaur could play Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Their H2H is 3-2 for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.