Carlos Alcaraz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will face off in the semifinal of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.24
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the quarter in Barcelona back in 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Barcelona 21-April-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-5 | 10-4 | 22-1 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Carlos got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Francisco Cerundolo 3-6 6-0 6-1, Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-1 and Arthur Fils 4-6 7-5 6-3.
In the quarter against Fils, Carlos recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 107 points vs Fils’s 97. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (43/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Fils 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (305-80). 3-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled144-35 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.
Alcaraz has a composed 18-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
18 - 8win/loss
28
21
LWLWLLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-14 | 13-7 | 9-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Davidovich Fokina reached the semifinal after defeating Ben Shelton 6-7(2) 6-2 6-1, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6(2) 6-3, Jack Draper 6-3 6-7(6) 6-4 and Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-3 6-2). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 62 points vs Popyrin’s 42. Davidovich Fokina was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alejandro broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Davidovich Fokina has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Delray Beach and Acapulco.
Alejandro has a compiled 18-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 99 |
| Pts | 246-200 | 353-283 |
| Total Points | 446 | 636 |
| Winners | 92 | 131 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
Alcaraz played 3 matches while Davidovich Fokina competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz lost 2 sets, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina surrendered 2 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Davidovich Fokina (8 vs 10). Therefore, Alcaraz played 30 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Carlos scored 92 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro fired 131 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 138/236 | 199/325 |
| %1st in | 58% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 92/138 | 131/199 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 53/98 | 77/126 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 61% |
Alcaraz recorded 4 aces (1.3 per match). Davidovich Fokina scored 8 aces (2 per match). Alcaraz won 67% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 20 |
| Converted | 16/29 | 20/42 |
| % Converted | 55% | 48% |
| Conceded | 28 | 31 |
| Saved | 21 | 22 |
| % Saved | 75% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 9 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Alcaraz surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 20 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R2 Cerundolo |
R3 Altmaier |
1/4 Fils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-0 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 | 31 | 69 | |
| pts | 76-55 | 63-48 | 107-97 | 246-200 | |
| Total points | 131 | 111 | 204 | 446 | |
| Winners | 28 | 21 | 43 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 41/76 | 35/59 | 62/101 | 138/236 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 59% | 61% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 21/35 | 43/62 | 92/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 60% | 69% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/35 | 15/24 | 19/39 | 53/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 63% | 49% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/7 | 5/14 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 71% | 36% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 11 | 28 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 9/10 | 7/11 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 90% | 64% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | ||||||
| R1 Shelton |
R2 Etcheverry |
R3 Draper |
1/4 Popyrin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 6-2 6-1 | 7-62 6-3 | 6-3 6-76 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 22 | 32 | 17 | 99 | |
| pts | 93-71 | 85-67 | 113-103 | 62-42 | 353-283 | |
| Total points | 164 | 152 | 216 | 104 | 636 | |
| Winners | 30 | 31 | 44 | 26 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% | 39% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 52/90 | 41/70 | 74/118 | 32/47 | 199/325 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 59% | 63% | 68% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 30/52 | 31/41 | 44/74 | 26/32 | 131/199 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 76% | 59% | 81% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/38 | 17/29 | 26/44 | 11/15 | 77/126 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 59% | 59% | 73% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 20 | |
| Converted | 8/11 | 3/9 | 6/13 | 3/9 | 20/42 | |
| Converted % | 73% | 33% | 46% | 33% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 31 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 7/8 | 12/16 | 0/0 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 88% | 75% | – | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWLWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Rafael Matos/Joran VliegenMatos/Joran Vliegen (6-1 3-6 10-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Arthur FilsFils (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Alex De Minaur/Jan-Lennard StruffDe Minaur/Jan-Lennard Struff (6-3 3-6 10-2) – See score progression
- Romain Arneodo/Manuel GuinardArneodo/Manuel Guinard – Rohan Bopanna/Ben SheltonBopanna/Ben Shelton (6-2 4-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Arthur FilsFils (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
