Adrian Mannarino and Bernard Tomic will play each other in the quarter of the Mexico City Challenger for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on ESTADIO RAFAEL OSUNA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.833
Bernard Tomic -> 1.89

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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Bernard Tomic

This will be the 4^th time that Adrian Mannarino and Bernard Tomic fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Tomic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Tomic won 6-4 6-4

in the 2^nd round in Acapulco back in 2016.

Adrian Mannarino

Ranked no. 134, the French player got to the quarter after beating Aidan Mayo 7-6(5) 6-4 and Nicolas Mejia 6-2 2-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Adrian defeated Mejia (6-2 2-6 6-2). During the match, Mannarino scored 83 points vs Mejia’s 68. Mannarino was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mannarino scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 73% of his first serves in, winning 57% (30/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Adrian broke Mejia 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Mannarino has won exactly 50% of his matches (273-272) in the last 10 years. 4-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mannarino has a composed 25-55 record in the last years on clay.

Adrian has an overall 6-14 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Mexico City Challenger

Bernard Tomic

Ranked no. 236, Bernard got to the quarter after beating Tom Paris 6-4 6-2 and Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Alejandro Hernandez (6-4 6-2). During the match Tomic scored 69 points vs Alejandro Hernandez’s 54. Tomic was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Tomic managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Bernard Tomic was quite effective on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tomic broke Alejandro Hernandez 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bernard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Bernard has a compiled 10-10 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Mexico City Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history

.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mannarino	Tomic
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	47	36
Pts	157-135	128-102
Total Points	292	230
Winners	59	51
%Winners	38%	40%

Both Mannarino and Tomic played 2 matches. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino lost 1 set while Bernard Tomic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mannarino has played 1 set more than Tomic (5 vs 4). Therefore, Mannarino played 11 games more than Tomic. Mannarino scored 59 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Bernard recorded 51 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mannarino	Tomic
Aces	5	6
Avg per match	2.5	3
1st in	89/143	63/112
%1st in	62%	56%
1st pts	59/89	51/63
%1st pts	66%	81%
2nd pts	25/54	28/49
%2nd pts	46%	57%

Mannarino managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Tomic scored 6 aces (3 per match). Mannarino won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Tomic won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mannarino	Tomic
Won	11	6
Converted	11/21	6/14
% Converted	52%	43%
Conceded	16	4
Saved	8	4
% Saved	50%	100%
Times Broken	8	0

Mannarino broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Mannarino dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Tomic broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Australian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Mannarino
	R1 Mayo	R2 Mejia	Total
Score	7-65 6-4	6-2 2-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	23	24	47
pts	74-67	83-68	157-135
Total points	141	151	292
Winners	29	30	59
%Winners	39%	36%	38%
SERVE
Aces	4	1	5
Double Faults	5	3	8
1st in	36/70	53/73	89/143
% 1st in	51%	73%	62%
1st pts	29/36	30/53	59/89
% 1st pts	81%	57%	66%
2nd pts	15/34	10/20	25/54
% 2nd pts	44%	50%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	7	11
Converted	4/9	7/12	11/21
Converted %	44%	58%	52%
Conceded	5	11	16
Saved	2/5	6/11	8
Saved %	40%	55%	48%
Times Broken	3	5	8

Tomic
	R1 Paris	R2 Alejandro	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	18	36
pts	59-48	69-54	128-102
Total points	107	123	230
Winners	22	29	51
%Winners	37%	42%	40%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	6
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	27/49	36/63	63/112
% 1st in	55%	57%	56%
1st pts	22/27	29/36	51/63
% 1st pts	81%	81%	81%
2nd pts	14/22	14/27	28/49
% 2nd pts	64%	52%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/6	3/8	6/14
Converted %	50%	38%	43%
Conceded	0	4	4
Saved	0/0	4/4	4
Saved %	–	100%	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger

• Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac – Nicolas Barrientos/Rithvik Choudary BollipalliBarrientos/Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli (6-4 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• N.Sriram Balaji/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaBalaji/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela – Neil Oberleitner/Matias SotoOberleitner/Matias Soto (3-6 6-3 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Bernard TomicTomic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alfredo PerezPerez – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Aziz DougazDougaz (1-0) – H2H and prediction