Marin Cilic and Vilius Gaubas will fight against each other in the quarter of the Madrid Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on PISTA CENTRAL C.MADRID . In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marin Cilic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marin Cilic is the pick to win this match.
Marin Cilic -> 1.39
Vilius Gaubas -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Marin Cilic vs. Vilius Gaubas
There is no head to head record between Marin Cilic and Vilius Gaubas since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Marin Cilic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-5 | 2-2 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-11 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-21 | 16-10 | 9-5 | 4-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 13-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, Marin reached the quarter after defeating Ignacio Buse 6-3 7-5 and Marco Trungelliti 6-2 4-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Marin defeated Trungelliti (6-2 4-6 6-1). During the match, Cilic scored 91 points vs Trungelliti’s 72. The Croatian was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cilic blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Marin Cilic was very efficient on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 66% (23/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Cilic broke Trungelliti 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cilic has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Cilic has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (258-157). 7-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cilic has an aggregate 60-33 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Girona Challenger where he defeated Elmer Moller in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Croatian has a compiled 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Cilic has never competed in this tournament before.
Vilius Gaubas
10 - 10win/loss
144
144
LWWWWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-10 | 1-3 | 7-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149 (career-high), the Lithuanian reached the quarter after defeating Lorenzo Giustino 4-6 7-5 7-5 and Sebastian Ofner 4-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Ofner, Vilius recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match Gaubas scored 89 points vs Ofner’s 74. The Lithuanian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Gaubas recorded 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Vilius Gaubas was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (43/56) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Gaubas broke Ofner 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Lithuanian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Menorca Challenger where he beat Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.
Vilius has an overall 10-9 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cilic | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 62 |
| Pts | 167-137 | 200-180 |
| Total Points | 304 | 380 |
| Winners | 59 | 91 |
| %Winners | 35% | 46% |
Both Cilic and Gaubas played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Marin Cilic lost 1 set, while Vilius Gaubas conceded 2 sets. Cilic has played 1 set(s) less than Gaubas (5 vs 6). Therefore, Cilic played 16 games less than Gaubas. Marin scored 59 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Vilius blasted 91 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cilic | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 74/144 | 128/181 |
| %1st in | 51% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 59/74 | 91/128 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 38/70 | 31/53 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 58% |
Cilic struck 19 aces (9.5 per match). Gaubas bagged 10 aces (5 per match). Cilic won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Gaubas won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cilic | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/26 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 31% | 40% |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 70% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Marin broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Croatian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Lithuanian broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Lithuanian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cilic | ||||
| R1 Buse |
R2 Trungelliti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 25 | 46 | |
| pts | 76-65 | 91-72 | 167-137 | |
| Total points | 141 | 163 | 304 | |
| Winners | 28 | 31 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 8 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 32/67 | 42/77 | 74/144 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 55% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 31/42 | 59/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 74% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 23/35 | 38/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 66% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | 8/26 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Gaubas | ||||
| R1 Giustino |
R2 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 28 | 62 | |
| pts | 111-106 | 89-74 | 200-180 | |
| Total points | 217 | 163 | 380 | |
| Winners | 48 | 43 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 72/106 | 56/75 | 128/181 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 75% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 48/72 | 43/56 | 91/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 77% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/34 | 10/19 | 31/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 53% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/8 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 0/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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