
Juan Pablo Varillas and Luka Pavlovic will play each other in the quarter of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on ESTADIO RAFAEL OSUNA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.71
Luka Pavlovic -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Luka Pavlovic
There is no head to head record between Juan Pablo Varillas and Luka Pavlovic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Juan Pablo Varillas


15 - 8win/loss
241
60

Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 15-10 | 0-1 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 27-31 | 0-5 | 27-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 251, Juan reached the quarter after defeating Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 6-1 6-4 and James Duckworth 2-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Duckworth, Juan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored less points (2) than Duckworth. In fact, the world no. 251 won 78 points vs Duckworth’s. That means that Pablo Patino-Samudio was more focused during the important points. Pablo Patino-Samudio was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio fired 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was quite effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Peruvian broke Duckworth 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Juan has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (370-241). 15-6 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Pablo Patino-Samudio has an overall 343-197 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Buenos Aires Challenger where he defeated Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Peruvian has a composed 15-7 win-loss record in 2025, 15-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Pablo Patino-Samudio has never competed in this tournament before.
Luka Pavlovic
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 44-18 | 0-0 | 42-16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 39-12 | 0-1 | 38-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 16-14 | 1-1 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 295 (career-high), the French player got to the quarter after defeating Stefano Napolitano 7-6(5) 7-6(6) and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Pavlovic had a good straight sets win against Pacheco Mendez (7-64 6-3). During the match Pavlovic scored 73 points vs Pacheco Mendez’s 65. Luka was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Pavlovic fired 18 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Luka Pavlovic was quite effective on serve to win 89% (24/27) of his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Pacheco Mendez twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The French player best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Kigali 2 Challenger.
Luka has an aggregate 14-4 win-loss record in 2025, 14-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Pavlovic |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
Tot Games | 45 | 48 |
Pts | 141-125 | 154-145 |
Total Points | 266 | 299 |
Winners | 59 | 57 |
%Winners | 42% | 37% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Pavlovic played 2 matches. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas lost 1 set while Luka Pavlovic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 1 set more than Pavlovic (5 vs 4). However, it’s interesting to notice that Pablo Patino-Samudio played 3 games less than Pavlovic. The Peruvian scored 59 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Luka made 57 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Pavlovic |
---|---|---|
Aces | 10 | 38 |
Avg per match | 5 | 19 |
1st in | 84/148 | 69/153 |
%1st in | 57% | 45% |
1st pts | 59/84 | 57/69 |
%1st pts | 70% | 83% |
2nd pts | 36/64 | 49/84 |
%2nd pts | 56% | 58% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio made 10 aces (5 per match). Pavlovic fired 38 aces (19 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Pavlovic won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Pavlovic |
---|---|---|
Won | 7 | 3 |
Converted | 7/12 | 3/7 |
% Converted | 58% | 43% |
Conceded | 15 | 6 |
Saved | 11 | 4 |
% Saved | 73% | 67% |
Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Juan broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Peruvian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Pavlovic conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
Pablo Patino-Samudio | ||||
R1 Rodriguez Taverna |
R2 Duckworth |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-4 | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 28 | 45 | |
pts | 63-45 | 78-80 | 141-125 | |
Total points | 108 | 158 | 266 | |
Winners | 28 | 31 | 59 | |
%Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
1st in | 42/68 | 42/80 | 84/148 | |
% 1st in | 62% | 53% | 57% | |
1st pts | 28/42 | 31/42 | 59/84 | |
% 1st pts | 67% | 74% | 70% | |
2nd pts | 14/26 | 22/38 | 36/64 | |
% 2nd pts | 54% | 58% | 56% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Converted | 4/6 | 3/6 | 7/12 | |
Converted % | 67% | 50% | 58% | |
Conceded | 11 | 4 | 15 | |
Saved | 10/11 | 1/4 | 11 | |
Saved % | 91% | 25% | 58% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Pavlovic | ||||
R1 Napolitano |
R2 Pacheco |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-65 7-66 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
pts | 81-80 | 73-65 | 154-145 | |
Total points | 161 | 138 | 299 | |
Winners | 33 | 24 | 57 | |
%Winners | 41% | 33% | 37% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 20 | 18 | 38 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
1st in | 42/86 | 27/67 | 69/153 | |
% 1st in | 49% | 40% | 45% | |
1st pts | 33/42 | 24/27 | 57/69 | |
% 1st pts | 79% | 89% | 83% | |
2nd pts | 27/44 | 22/40 | 49/84 | |
% 2nd pts | 61% | 55% | 58% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Converted | 1/1 | 2/6 | 3/7 | |
Converted % | 100% | 33% | 43% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 2/3 | 4 | |
Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac – Nicolas Barrientos/Rithvik Choudary BollipalliBarrientos/Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- N.Sriram Balaji/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaBalaji/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela – Neil Oberleitner/Matias SotoOberleitner/Matias Soto (3-6 6-3 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Bernard TomicTomic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alfredo PerezPerez – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Aziz DougazDougaz (1-0) – H2H and prediction