Tomas Barrios Vera and Emilio Nava will square off in the quarter of the Sarasota Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on NICK BOLLETTIERI COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.64
Tomas Barrios Vera -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Barrios Vera vs. Emilio Nava
This will be the 5th time that Tomas Barrios Vera and Emilio Nava fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Tomas Barrios Vera and Nava (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Nava won 2-6 6-3 7-5 in the quarter in the Asuncion Challenger back in March 2025.
Tomas Barrios Vera
17 - 10win/loss
118
93
LWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-12 | 1-2 | 20-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-28 | 6-5 | 26-19 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-30 | 4-7 | 42-22 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-17 | 3-1 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-27 | 4-6 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 128, Marcelo got to the quarter after defeating Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-3 6-3 and Michael Mmoh 4-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Mmoh, Tomas Barrios Vera recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Tomas Barrios Vera scored 89 points vs Mmoh’s 79. Tomas Barrios Vera was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tomas Barrios Vera made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tomas Barrios Vera lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tomas Barrios Vera put 63% of his first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Mmoh 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tomas Barrios Vera has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Tomas Barrios Vera has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (358-208). 16-6 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tomas Barrios Vera has an aggregate 273-146 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Campinas Challenger where he beat Alvaro Guillen Meza in the final 6-4 6-3.
The Chilean has an aggregate 17-9 win-loss record in 2025, 16-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
Emilio Nava
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-11 | 0-2 | 31-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-34 | 16-15 | 8-9 | 8-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-31 | 24-14 | 12-8 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-27 | 15-15 | 14-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-16 | 9-6 | 27-7 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, Nava reached the quarter after defeating Chris Rodesch 6-4 6-4 and Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Nava had a good straight sets win against Adrian Boitan (6-3 6-2). During the match Nava scored 61 points vs Adrian Boitan’s 43. Nava was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Nava made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Emilio Nava lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Nava put 73% of his first serves in, winning 74% (28/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Nava broke Adrian Boitan 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Emilio hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Asuncion Challenger where he defeated Thiago Moura Monteiro in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Concepcion Challenger where he defeated Nicolas Kicker in the final 6-1 7-6(3).
Emilio has an aggregate 24-9 win-loss record in 2025, 24-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tomas Barrios Vera | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 37 |
| Pts | 150-123 | 126-95 |
| Total Points | 273 | 221 |
| Winners | 62 | 54 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Both Tomas Barrios Vera and Nava played 2 matches. At the moment, Tomas Barrios Vera lost 1 set while Emilio Nava hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tomas Barrios Vera has played 1 set more than Nava (5 vs 4). Therefore, Tomas Barrios Vera played 8 games more than Nava. Tomas Barrios Vera scored 62 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Nava scored 54 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tomas Barrios Vera | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 87/143 | 71/109 |
| %1st in | 61% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 62/87 | 54/71 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 21/38 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Tomas Barrios Vera struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Nava scored 14 aces (7 per match). Tomas Barrios Vera won 71% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Nava won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tomas Barrios Vera | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 7 |
| Converted | 10/14 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 71% | 47% |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Marcelo broke his opponents 10 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Chilean dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Emilio broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tomas Barrios Vera | ||||
| R1 Alberto Olivieri |
R2 Mmoh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 45 | |
| pts | 61-44 | 89-79 | 150-123 | |
| Total points | 105 | 168 | 273 | |
| Winners | 26 | 36 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/53 | 57/90 | 87/143 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 36/57 | 62/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 63% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 17/33 | 28/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 6/9 | 10/14 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 43% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Nava | ||||
| R1 Rodesch |
R2 Adrian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 37 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 61-43 | 126-95 | |
| Total points | 117 | 104 | 221 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 38/52 | 71/109 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 73% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 28/38 | 54/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 7/14 | 21/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/11 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 36% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
LLWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Sarasota Challenger
- Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – George Goldhoff/Trey HilderbrandGoldhoff/Trey Hilderbrand (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Eliot Spizzirri/Tyler ZinkSpizzirri/Tyler Zink – Tomas Barrios Vera/Facundo MenaBarrios Vera/Facundo Mena (4-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Emilio NavaNava (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Andres AndradeAndrade (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (1-1) – H2H and prediction
