Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Fils will clash against each other in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.27
Arthur Fils -> 3.76

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Arthur Fils

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Fils since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Francisco Cerundolo 3-6 6-0 6-1 and Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-3 6-1). During the match, Alcaraz scored 63 points vs Altmaier’s 48. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 59% of his first serves in, winning 60% (21/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Altmaier 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

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Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (304-80). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate143-35 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

The Spaniard has a composed 17-4 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Arthur Fils

Ranked no. 15 (career-high), Arthur got to the quarter after beating Tallon Griekspoor 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

, Flavio Cobolli 6-2 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-2 6-3). During the match Fils scored 58 points vs Rublev’s 37. Fils was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.

About the serving games, Fils bagged 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Arthur Fils was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Fils broke Rublev 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Fils has an overall 14-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Fils
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	7
Tot Games	38	66
Pts	139-103	244-189
Total Points	242	433
Winners	49	99
%Winners	35%	41%

Alcaraz played 2 matches while Fils competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set, while Arthur Fils lost 1 set. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Fils (5 vs 7). Therefore, Alcaraz played 28 games less than Fils. Alcaraz scored 49 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Fils bagged 99 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Fils
Aces	1	12
Avg per match	0.5	4
1st in	76/135	127/206
%1st in	56%	62%
1st pts	49/76	99/127
%1st pts	64%	78%
2nd pts	34/59	46/79
%2nd pts	58%	58%

Alcaraz managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Fils also bagged 12 aces (4 per match). Alcaraz won 64% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Fils won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Fils
Won	11	11
Converted	11/15	11/33
% Converted	73%	33%
Conceded	17	8
Saved	14	7
% Saved	82%	88%
Times Broken	3	1

Alcaraz broke his opponents 11 times with a 73% conversion rate. Alcaraz lost his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Fils broke his opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Arthur conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R2 Cerundolo	R3 Altmaier	Total
Score	3-6 6-0 6-1	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	22	16	38
pts	76-55	63-48	139-103
Total points	131	111	242
Winners	28	21	49
%Winners	37%	33%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	41/76	35/59	76/135
% 1st in	54%	59%	56%
1st pts	28/41	21/35	49/76
% 1st pts	68%	60%	64%
2nd pts	19/35	15/24	34/59
% 2nd pts	54%	63%	58%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/8	5/7	11/15
Converted %	75%	71%	73%
Conceded	7	10	17
Saved	5/7	9/10	14
Saved %	71%	90%	81%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Fils
	R1 Griekspoor	R2 Cobolli	R3 Rublev	Total
Score	6-73 6-4 6-2	6-2 6-4	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	31	18	17	66
pts	124-107	62-45	58-37	244-189
Total points	231	107	95	433
Winners	54	24	21	99
%Winners	44%	39%	36%	41%
SERVE
Aces	7	1	4	12
Double Faults	6	1	2	9
1st in	69/111	32/53	26/42	127/206
% 1st in	62%	60%	62%	62%
1st pts	54/69	24/32	21/26	99/127
% 1st pts	78%	75%	81%	78%
2nd pts	23/42	14/21	9/16	46/79
% 2nd pts	55%	67%	56%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	3	5	11
Converted	3/16	3/8	5/9	11/33
Converted %	19%	38%	56%	33%
Conceded	5	2	1	8
Saved	5/5	2/2	0/1	7
Saved %	100%	100%	0%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 6-7⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 6-7(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction