Alexei Popyrin and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will clash against each other in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.68
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

There is no head to head record between Alexei Popyrin and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Alexei Popyrin

Ranked no. 27, Popyrin reached the quarter after defeating Ugo Humbert 3-6 7-6(2) 6-4, Frances Tiafoe 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Casper Ruud 6-4 3-6 7-5.

In the 3^rd round, Popyrin defeated Ruud (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match, Popyrin and Ruud scored the same amount of points (120). However, the world no. 27 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Popyrin was pretty aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Talking about the service games, Popyrin blasted 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve twice and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 62% of his first serves in, winning 74% (54/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (19/44) on the 2nd serve. Alexei broke Ruud 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has surrendered 3 set in this tournament to win 50% of the points he played.

Popyrin has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (278-220). 3-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Popyrin has an overall 78-56 match record in the last years on clay.

The Australian has an overall 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranked no. 42, the Spaniard got to the quarter after defeating Ben Shelton 6-7(2) 6-2 6-1, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6(2) 6-3 and Jack Draper 6-3 6-7(6) 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, The Spaniard defeated Draper (6-3 6-7⁶ 6-4). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 113 points vs Draper’s 103. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 4 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 63% of his first serves in, winning 59% (44/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the 2nd serve. Davidovich Fokina broke Draper 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alejandro has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Delray Beach and Acapulco.

The Spaniard has a compiled 17-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Popyrin	Davidovich Fokina
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	9	8
Tot Games	90	82
Pts	320-321	291-241
Total Points	641	532
Winners	141	105
%Winners	44%	36%

Both Popyrin and Davidovich Fokina played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexei Popyrin lost 3 sets, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina dropped 2 sets. Popyrin has played 1 set more than Davidovich Fokina (9 vs 8). Therefore, Popyrin played 8 games more than Davidovich Fokina. Alexei scored 141 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro struck 105 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Popyrin	Davidovich Fokina
Aces	14	7
Avg per match	4.7	2.3
1st in	193/303	167/278
%1st in	64%	60%
1st pts	141/193	105/167
%1st pts	73%	63%
2nd pts	47/110	66/111
%2nd pts	43%	59%

Popyrin scored 14 aces (4.7 per match). Davidovich Fokina recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). Popyrin won 73% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Popyrin	Davidovich Fokina
Won	10	17
Converted	10/40	17/33
% Converted	25%	52%
Conceded	28	31
Saved	21	22
% Saved	75%	71%
Times Broken	7	9

Popyrin broke his opponents 10 times with a 25% conversion rate. Alexei lost his serve 7 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Popyrin
	R1 Humbert	R2 Tiafoe	R3 Ruud	Total
Score	3-6 7-62 6-4	3-6 6-3 6-3	6-4 3-6 7-5
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	32	27	31	90
pts	112-111	88-90	120-120	320-321
Total points	223	178	240	641
Winners	52	35	54	141
%Winners	46%	40%	45%	44%
SERVE
Aces	3	7	4	14
Double Faults	6	6	5	17
1st in	68/107	52/79	73/117	193/303
% 1st in	64%	66%	62%	64%
1st pts	52/68	35/52	54/73	141/193
% 1st pts	76%	67%	74%	73%
2nd pts	19/39	9/27	19/44	47/110
% 2nd pts	49%	33%	43%	43%
Breaks
Won	1	6	3	10
Converted	1/9	6/16	3/15	10/40
Converted %	11%	38%	20%	25%
Conceded	6	8	14	28
Saved	5/6	4/8	12/14	21
Saved %	83%	50%	86%	73%
Times Broken	1	4	2	7

Davidovich Fokina
	R1 Shelton	R2 Etcheverry	R3 Draper	Total
Score	6-72 6-2 6-1	7-62 6-3	6-3 6-76 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	28	22	32	82
pts	93-71	85-67	113-103	291-241
Total points	164	152	216	532
Winners	30	31	44	105
%Winners	32%	36%	39%	36%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	1	7
Double Faults	0	2	0	2
1st in	52/90	41/70	74/118	167/278
% 1st in	58%	59%	63%	60%
1st pts	30/52	31/41	44/74	105/167
% 1st pts	58%	76%	59%	63%
2nd pts	23/38	17/29	26/44	66/111
% 2nd pts	61%	59%	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	8	3	6	17
Converted	8/11	3/9	6/13	17/33
Converted %	73%	33%	46%	52%
Conceded	7	8	16	31
Saved	3/7	7/8	12/16	22
Saved %	43%	88%	75%	69%
Times Broken	4	1	4	9

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 6-7⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 6-7(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction