Luca Van Assche and Federico Arnaboldi will square off in the quarter of the Monza Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Van Assche who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Van Assche is the pick to win this match.
Luca Van Assche -> 1.49
Federico Arnaboldi -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Luca Van Assche vs. Federico Arnaboldi
There is no head to head record between Luca Van Assche and Federico Arnaboldi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Luca Van Assche
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-38 | 15-15 | 8-10 | 10-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 1-7 | 15-11 | 15-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 55-31 | 0-1 | 40-20 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-22 | 3-2 | 8-7 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 188, Van Assche reached the quarter after beating Andrea Picchione 3-6 7-6(3) 6-4 and Mili Poljicak 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Van Assche had a good straight sets win against Poljicak (6-2 6-4). During the match, Van Assche scored 89 points vs Poljicak’s 75. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Van Assche couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Luca Van Assche conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 10 break points. Furthermore, Van Assche put 70% of his first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Poljicak 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca has lost 1 set in this event to win 51% of the points he played.
Van Assche has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 56% of his matches (165-130). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Van Assche has a composed79-50 record in the last 6 years on clay.
Luca has a compiled 8-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Monza Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Federico Arnaboldi
6 - 8win/loss
194
194
LWWLWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-10 | 2-5 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 0-1 | 40-23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 1-2 | 23-21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 0-2 | 23-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 60-15 | 12-2 | 48-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 217, the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Matej Dodig 7-6(6) 6-2 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Arnaboldi had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-4). During the match Arnaboldi scored 75 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 57. Arnaboldi was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaboldi fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 57% of his first serves in, winning 74% (26/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (9/26) on the 2nd serve. Arnaboldi broke Manuel Cerundolo 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Italian has an overall 6-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Van Assche | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 39 |
| Pts | 191-185 | 155-120 |
| Total Points | 376 | 275 |
| Winners | 87 | 50 |
| %Winners | 46% | 32% |
Both Van Assche and Arnaboldi played 2 matches. At the moment, Luca Van Assche surrendered 1 set while Federico Arnaboldi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Van Assche has played 1 set more than Arnaboldi (5 vs 4). Therefore, Van Assche played 11 games more than Arnaboldi. The French player scored 87 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaboldi bagged 50 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Van Assche | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 145/195 | 68/126 |
| %1st in | 74% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 87/145 | 50/68 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 24/50 | 23/58 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 40% |
Van Assche bagged 1 ace (0.5 per match). Arnaboldi also blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Van Assche won 60% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Van Assche | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/27 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 33% | 46% |
| Conceded | 26 | 12 |
| Saved | 20 | 5 |
| % Saved | 77% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Van Assche broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. Luca conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Federico broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Federico conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded.
| Van Assche | ||||
| R1 Picchione |
R2 Poljicak |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-63 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 18 | 50 | |
| pts | 102-110 | 89-75 | 191-185 | |
| Total points | 212 | 164 | 376 | |
| Winners | 49 | 38 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 88/114 | 57/81 | 145/195 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 70% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 49/88 | 38/57 | 87/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 67% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 12/24 | 24/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 3/15 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 20% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 10 | 26 | |
| Saved | 10/16 | 10/10 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 100% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Arnaboldi | ||||
| R1 Dodig |
R2 Manuel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 39 | |
| pts | 80-63 | 75-57 | 155-120 | |
| Total points | 143 | 132 | 275 | |
| Winners | 24 | 26 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 35% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/65 | 35/61 | 68/126 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 57% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 26/35 | 50/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 9/26 | 23/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 35% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 2/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 40% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Filip MisolicMisolic – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
