Raphael Collignon and Jan Choinski will fight against each other in the quarter of the Monza Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Raphael Collignon who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Raphael Collignon is the pick to win this match.
Raphael Collignon -> 1.34
Jan Choinski -> 3.04

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Prediction and head to head Raphael Collignon vs. Jan Choinski

There is no head to head record between Raphael Collignon and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Raphael Collignon

Ranked no. 91 (career-high), Collignon reached the quarter after beating Federico Cina 6-2 6-4 and Khumoun Sultanov 6-2 4-6 6-0.

In the 2^nd round, Collignon defeated Sultanov (6-2 4-6 6-0). During the match, Collignon scored 103 points vs Sultanov’s 78. Collignon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Collignon struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Raphael Collignon lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Collignon put 69% of his first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Sultanov 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Raphael has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Collignon has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (188-94). 3-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Collignon has a composed104-37 record in the last 6 years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he defeated Patrick Zahraj in the final 6-2 6-4.

Collignon has a composed 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Monza Challenger

Collignon has never competed in this tournament before.

Jan Choinski

Ranked no. 201, the German got to the quarter after defeating Duje Ajdukovic 7-6(6) 6-2 and Arthur Gea 4-6 6-2 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Gea, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Choinski scored 90 points vs Gea’s 72. Choinski was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Choinski managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jan Choinski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 71% of his first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. Jan broke Gea 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Choinski has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Jan has a composed 6-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Collignon	Choinski
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	42	48
Pts	167-129	165-134
Total Points	296	299
Winners	65	73
%Winners	39%	44%

Both Collignon and Choinski played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Raphael Collignon dropped 1 set, while Jan Choinski surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Collignon and Choinski have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Collignon played 6 games less than Choinski. The Belgian scored 65 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The German managed to score 73 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Collignon	Choinski
Aces	14	5
Avg per match	7	2.5
1st in	96/144	105/145
%1st in	67%	72%
1st pts	65/96	73/105
%1st pts	68%	70%
2nd pts	29/48	23/40
%2nd pts	60%	58%

Collignon scored 14 aces (7 per match). Choinski managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Collignon won 68% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Collignon	Choinski
Won	9	8
Converted	9/20	8/16
% Converted	45%	50%
Conceded	11	8
Saved	9	4
% Saved	82%	50%
Times Broken	2	4

Collignon broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Collignon conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Jan broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Choinski conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Collignon
	R1 Cina	R2 Sultanov	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-2 4-6 6-0
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	18	24	42
pts	64-51	103-78	167-129
Total points	115	181	296
Winners	25	40	65
%Winners	39%	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	14
Double Faults	2	4	6
1st in	35/56	61/88	96/144
% 1st in	63%	69%	67%
1st pts	25/35	40/61	65/96
% 1st pts	71%	66%	68%
2nd pts	14/21	15/27	29/48
% 2nd pts	67%	56%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	6	9
Converted	3/5	6/15	9/20
Converted %	60%	40%	45%
Conceded	1	10	11
Saved	1/1	8/10	9
Saved %	100%	80%	90%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Choinski
	R1 Ajdukovic	R2 Gea	Total
Score	7-66 6-2	4-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	21	27	48
pts	75-62	90-72	165-134
Total points	137	162	299
Winners	36	37	73
%Winners	48%	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	5
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	49/66	56/79	105/145
% 1st in	74%	71%	72%
1st pts	36/49	37/56	73/105
% 1st pts	73%	66%	70%
2nd pts	9/17	14/23	23/40
% 2nd pts	53%	61%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	5	8
Converted	3/5	5/11	8/16
Converted %	60%	45%	50%
Conceded	2	6	8
Saved	1/2	3/6	4
Saved %	50%	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	3	4

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